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August 15, 2022

Kemp Up Big, Walker Up Slightly In Georgia, New Poll Finds

This is the Philips Academy Poll -- a prep school out of Andover.

Everyone's doing polls now, I guess.

Kemp tops Stacey "Tank" Abrams 51.4% to 43.5%, which means that Abrams is cruising for re-election, according to her count of "the missing vote."

A FaceBook face-check rates that last sentence as "transcendentally true." It also added that "The Georgia election is rigged" and "Democracy is a Whyte Lie, yo."

Strangely, however, a related article claims that the 2020 election was immaculate with not a single voting irregularity and stated that "anyone disputing this fact should be put to death."

Trump's bete noir Brad Raffensberger is crushing Democrat Bee Nguyen 50.0% to 34.1%.

Herschel Walker is just barely edging out Raphael Warnock, 45.2% to 43.6%.

But I'll take that for the moment -- Democrat hatchet man Bill Kristol's Democrat front group, " " "Republican" " " Accountability PAC, just ran ads against Herschel Walker featuring old charges by Walker's ex-wife that he had threatened to kill her and her boyfriend.

From the Atlanta Journal-Constitution:

A new 30-second ad from the Republican Accountability PAC is among the first to include footage of Republican Senate hopeful Herschel Walker's ex-wife graphically describing him choking her and threatening to shoot her during their marriage.

"Do you think you know Herschel Walker?" the ad says. "Think again."

The attack ad is backed by a six-figure buy and is part of RAPAC's plan to spend at least $10 million in six swing states to defeat fellow Republicans who echoed former President Donald Trump's election conspiracies.

He was never charged with domestic abuse or anything like that. He did acknowledge having some difficulties during this period.

He did once run over his wife with his car during a dispute.

Oh wait, no, my mistake, that was his opponent, Democrat Raphael Warnock.

I guess the very honest, very honorable Bill Kristol forgot to include that in his ad.

​The ex-wife of Georgia Senate candidate Rev. Raphael Warnock told police he deliberately ran over her foot during a March 2020 domestic dispute, and that her ex-husband is a "great actor," according to a report.

Ouleye Ndoye told Atlanta police that Warnock ran over her foot during a dispute, "and all he cares about right now is his reputation" because of his Senate run, according to bodycam footage aired on Fox News' "Tucker Carlson Tonight" Tuesday.

"I've tried to keep the way that he acts under wraps for a long time, and today he crossed the line. So that is what is going on here. And he's a great actor. He is phenomenal at putting on a really good show," a tearful Ndoye told police.

Given that Walker has had a bad week, I'm.... well I'm not happy about an inside-the-margin pseudolead, but it's better than being behind.

Joe Squire of RedState sees it as positive, noting that Walker has room to grow.

The Phillips Academy Poll shows Warnock trending downward from his high of 50 percent in the beginning of July while Walker is continuing to trend upward from recent polling.
Warnock is leading by 64% among Black voters even though both Warnock and Walker are African American. Warnock also has strong support among low-income and urban voters, where he leads by 23% and 16% respectively. Conversely, Walker receives most of his support from rural voters, where he is up by 20%. Georgia's suburban voters, a key voting block in the 2020 election, favor Walker by 5.1%.

That last sentence is a big red flag for the Warnock campaign. The suburbs helped turn Georgia's two Senate seats blue in 2020 and when coupled with a resurgence of the rural vote in Georgia, a lot of whom stayed home in the 2020 runoff, that could potentially mean that Walker is actually about 2-3 points higher than where he is polling currently.

I think I might start a PAC called "Republicans For Actual Republicans." I don't think I'll get one one millionth of the donations that a single one of Bill Kristol's many Democrat front groups get.


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posted by Ace at 02:31 PM

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