ABC/Washinton Post Poll Puts Biden's Popularity Where His Stools Aren't -- In the Crapper
UPDATE: Even Worse -- Catastrophically Bad, In Fact -- in the Competitive States?

Update: Widespread Pepe links this new information: Supposedly, according to @Political_Polls, in states which will see competitive Senate races in 2022, Biden's job approval is... 33%.

And Republicans are favored on the congressional ballot 58% to 35%.

@Politics_Polls Competitive Senate States (AZ, FL, GA, NC, NH, NV, PA, WI): Biden Job Approval: Approve 33% .Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 58% (+23) Democrats 35%

@ABC
/@washingtonpost
, 882 RV, 11/7-10
Posted by: Widespread Pepe

I don't know where they're getting that. My guess is that maybe they got a copy of the full data and calculated the survey responses for just those states, because I don't see ABC or the WaPo reporting that themselves yet. And maybe attempting to back-out a sub-survey out of the larger survey introduces errors into the figures.

Or maybe they got an advanced leak of an upcoming report.

Or maybe it's just a false report.

Take it with a grain of salt for now. But... Something to keep an eye out for.

Original Post continues:

41% approve, 53% disapprove.

In a sharply divided country, Biden began his presidency with a slight majority approving of his performance, but his standing has steadily dropped since midsummer. His overall approval rating now stands at 41 percent, with 53 percent saying they disapprove. Those who say they strongly disapprove of the way he has handled his job represent 44 percent of adults. Strong disapproval peaks at 80 percent among Republicans, though 45 percent of independents strongly disapprove of Biden's performance, as do 48 percent of suburbanites and 44 percent of White college graduates. Biden's overall approval rating is down from 50 percent in June and 44 percent in September, although his current standing is not statistically different from two months ago.

And this is another poll that has found a big shift towards the Republicans as far as congressional control. Strangely, while Republicans have a small lead on the congressional ballot question among likely voters, they have a huge one among registered voters -- an inversion of the pattern we used to see.

The Post-ABC poll finds that, if elections were held today, 46 percent of adults overall would back the Republican candidate for Congress and 43 percent would support the Democratic candidate. Among registered voters, the GOP advantage goes to 51 percent vs. 41 percent for Democrats, a historically strong result for Republicans on this measure.

George Stephanopolous underlines this in the video below: This is the Republicans' "largest lead ever in the 40 year history of our poll."

The Washington Post, which has no incentive to chase ratings but only has the incentive to play to its leftwing partisan audience, seems to dramatically underplay this with the single word "historically."

Why the inversion, with Republicans now doing better in the registered voter poll than in the likely voter screen? Well, I think that during the Obama years, a lot of what were formerly low-propensity liberal voters -- I'm thinking of blacks here -- became quite high-propensity voters. Indeed, as Current Governor of Georgia Stacy Abrams was complaining about the disenfranchisement of black voters in Georgia, they were actually turning out to the polls at rates higher than most other groups.

Interesting disenfranchisement.

The old rule that the likely voter screen always favors the GOP hasn't been as true as it once had been for some time. There remains a big skew in the polls, but that is just from conservatives entirely missing from phone surveys. It's not like the registered voter polls miss the conservative vote but the likely voter polls find them again.

Now I think something like the Obama Effect is going on here, but for the white working class and rural voters: A lot of low-propensity rural and white working class voters who long ago checked out of electoral politics, feeling that it just didn't matter who won as neither party would do anything from them -- I think because they long ago drifted from the Democrat Party but did not find anything in the Republican Party to attract them sufficiently to earn their votes -- now are becoming interested in politics again, and are siding with the Republican Party.

Analyses of the Virginia vote have shown a nightmare scenario for Democrats as not only have suburban voters redefected back to the GOP, but rural voter, who had been voting GOP, were now suddenly voting at levels which were not only unprecedented but not believed possible.

The Democrats' deranged #Woke agenda might have turned many rural/traditionalist formerly-soft-Democrat non-voters into voters and, possibly-- though only time will tell on this -- into high-propensity habit voters, as many blacks became post Obama.

Younger voters and college students also turned out big for Obama but did not remain high-propensity voters. So these newly-engaged rural voter might slip back into indifference, if the GOP does what it will of course do and feed them Chamber of Commerce talking points and tax cuts for corporations and Lindsey Graham sermonizing about illegal immigrants being the Real America.

Back to the poll: The economy and especially inflation are driving Captain Bucketbottom's unpopularity.

Biden's approval rating on the economy has also tumbled and now stands at 39 percent positive and 55 percent negative. That 16-point net negative rating compares with a September poll in which 45 percent said they approved of his handling of the economy and an April poll in which 52 percent approved. ...

The Post-ABC poll also showcases Americans' current pessimism: Despite a mix of economic signals -- falling unemployment and rising prices -- 70 percent rate the economy negatively, including 38 percent who say it is in "poor" condition. About half of Americans overall and political independents blame Biden for fast-rising inflation, and more than 6 in 10 Americans say he has not accomplished much after 10 months in office, including 71 percent of independents.

Education isn't driving national voter sentiment at the moment. It did in Virginia, where it had become a top issue. But it's not a top issue nationally.

It will be interesting to see what happens if it becomes one:

...

The poll finds overwhelming support for parents having a say in what their children's schools teach, including nearly half of adults saying parents should have "a lot" of say on matters of curriculum. The findings break largely along party lines, with those who say "a lot" supporting Republicans by big margins.

Overall, Americans are divided over which party they trust to handle education, with 44 percent choosing Democrats and 41 percent choosing Republicans. That represents a significant weakening in what has historically been an advantage for Democrats on this question.

That agrees with other recent polling showing Democrats clinging to a slim lead on the education issue, after enjoying a large lead on it for decades.

And of course, the Idiot King who promised to "end" coronavirus did not end it, but instead ended freedoms he vowed he would not end:

...

Today, Americans are roughly divided on Biden's handling of the pandemic (47 percent approve, while 49 percent disapprove). Two months ago, 52 percent approved of his handling of the pandemic compared with 41 percent who disapproved. In June and in April, he was in positive territory by a 2-to-1 margin.

Thomas Massie @RepThomasMassie 17h

December 4, 2020: President-elect Joe Biden said he didn't believe the coronavirus vaccine should be mandatory.

"I don't think it should be mandatory. I wouldn't demand it to be mandatory," Biden said.

A separate poll of Iowa voters shows that in a very hypothetical Trump vs. Biden rematch -- which isn't going to happen; I don't think Biden will even see 2024 -- Trump would win by 11 points, exceeding his 8 point 2020 margin.

I have to say that I'd expect any credible non-fakey-fake conservative populist with a strong record -- eh-eh-ahem, DeSantis -- would whup the Democrat candidate by a similar margin.

Meanwhile, Biden's Puppeteers are claiming that injecting fresh trillions of Fake News Dollars into an economy where inflation is already at a 30 year high from trillions of Fake News Dollars is... the only way to... stop inflation?

The Most Trusted Name in News predicted this exact propaganda back in May:

MSNBC's Stephanie Ruhle has a hot take on #Funflation: The dirty little secret about paying more for everything, she says, is that we can afford to.

After all, thanks to being locked in our homes for 18 months, we didn't spend as much so our household savings went up a bit. So we shouldn't mind now pissing those savings away on inflated prices for bacon, fuel, diapers and detergent.

posted by Ace at 01:08 PM

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