Polls Show Public Support for Biden and the Democrat Party Falling Still further

Confirming the Quinnipiac poll showing Biden's job approval at a horrible 38% favorable, 53% unfavorable, the Gallup poll shows Republicans with near-record leads on the two key issues of security and prosperity.

GOP given 54% to 39% advantage for handling terrorism, security

By 50% to 41%, Americans say GOP better for ensuring prosperity

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Americans by significant margins now view the Republican Party as better than the Democratic Party at protecting the nation from international threats (54% to 39%, respectively) and at ensuring the nation remains prosperous (50% to 41%). The 15-percentage-point GOP advantage on security matters is its largest since 2015, while its nine-point edge on prosperity is its largest since 2014. Last year, the GOP had a narrow advantage on international matters while the parties were essentially tied on economic matters. More of this change has come from declines in Americans perceiving the Democratic Party as better on these issues than from increases for the Republican Party.
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Americans typically see the Republican Party as more capable on national security matters, but the 15-point gap in favor of the GOP this year is the largest since a 16-point advantage in 2015. The party had an even larger 23-point gap in 2014, a time when the Obama administration was struggling to deal with the rise of the Islamic State in Iraq and renewed Middle East violence, among other issues.

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As is the case on international matters, there has been a seven-point drop in the percentage of Americans who say the Democratic Party is better able to keep the U.S. prosperous, from 48% to 41%. Now, 50% say the Republican Party is better, compared with 47% in 2020.

Republicans have had at least a small advantage on this for most of the past decade, with the current nine-point lead tying 2011 and 2014 as the largest for the GOP during this period. The only years since 2010 that Republicans have not led are 2012 and 2020, the two years in which Democratic candidates were elected president.

The last time that at least half of U.S. adults said the Republicans were better at keeping the country prosperous was in 1989, although there have been several measures of 48% or 49% since then.

According to the Morning Consult, voters are "underwhelmed" by Biden's and the Democrats' performance in office.

40% of voters say Biden has accomplished less than they expected since taking office in January, up 12 points since June, and matching the share who say the same of congressional Democrats.

The shares of independent and Democratic voters who say Biden has underperformed expectations have doubled over the past three months.

52% of all voters disapprove of Biden's job performance, his worst rating in a Morning Consult/Politico poll so far.

Meanwhile, the only people who trust the leftwing partisan media are its dwindling number of leftwing partisan viewers.

Americans' trust in the media has plummeted four percentage points since last year to 36 percent -- and is the lowest since 2016, a new poll released Thursday found.

Just 7 percent say they have a "great deal" of trust and confidence in newspapers, television and radio reporting the news accurately and fairly, and 29 percent say they have a "fair amount," the Gallup poll shows.

That combined 36 percent is four percentage points from 2016's record low of 32 percent, the poll said.

More than a third -- 34 percent -- say they have "none at all" and 29 percent have "not very much."

Steven Kruiser wonders if 2022 will be "2010 on steroids."

He bases this partly on Stacy Lennox's observation that the Quinnipiac polls finds a dramatic shift on the generic congressional ballot question towards Republicans:

RealClearPolitics aggregates polls on the generic congressional ballot. A simple question is posed to potential voters: If the election happened today, which party they would want to control the House of Representatives? In recent months, all but one poll showed Democrats ahead on this measure since April. However, Quinnipiac conducted this type of poll twice in the last three weeks, and the results moved seven points in favor of Republicans over that timeframe.

The Democrats have time to improve their ratings. We're probably in the last major outbreak of covid for a while, and Biden and Democrats will be given credit by the media for a completely-expected natural oscillation in pandemic spread. The media will claim this was because of the authoritarian fascist vaccine mandates.

That, in turn, may lead to an upturn in the economy.

Which the media will credit to Biden's steady leadership and force of intellect.

So two things will probably happen due to completely predictable rhythmic oscillations, and the media will propagandize that this is all due to the mastery of the Democrat Party.

Much of the public is plenty stupid enough to believe this.

posted by Ace at 12:18 PM

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