ę Justice Department Official Confirms that the FBI Opened an Investigation Into "Hunter Biden and Associates" in 2019 -- and that that Investigation Remains "Open and Active" today | Main | Quarantine Cafe: Escape from Paris Edition Ľ
October 29, 2020

Polls: Biden's National Lead Down to 4, Says Harris/Hill

New Harris poll for the Hill shows Biden slipping a point, leading Trump by only four nationally. And leading by four nationally means "behind in the swing states by 1-2."

Now, per Rasmussen, which skews more R, Trump is actually up +1 nationally, which would suggest he's going to win all the swing states.

Joe Biden's campaign schedule indicates that Biden knows the polls are garbage.

Supposedly Biden's up comfortably in Minnestoa.

Then why did he just schedule one of his very few out-of-the-basement trips to campaign there?


Maybe that's because two new polls show Trump within striking range in Minnesota.

Five weeks ago, the Star-Tribune/Mason-Dixon poll put Biden up only by six, which itself was quite a surprise from a polling series that normally overstates Democratic performance. The center-left MinnPost's survey two weeks ago put Biden up by only five -- and Biden didnít get to 50% in either of them. Today, two new polls have Trump just within their margins of error in this race. First up, GOP pollster Trafalgar has the race at Biden 45.9% to Trump 43.7%, and Biden 48.0/44.8 when adding in leaners...

Biden also has a five point lead in SurveyUSA's poll -- but the margin of error is +/- 4.9%.

Interesting, Kanye West is on the ballot in Minnesota, and apparently pulling some black and Asian voters from Biden.

Here's an update to yesterday's "Has Trump already won Florida?" post -- Biden's lead with Hispanics in Florida is now down to... five points.

Ay, Dios mio! Que desastre!

Joe Biden has a narrow lead among Florida Hispanic voters but is running well behind Hillary Clintonís 2016 performance, according to a new poll released Thursday by Telemundo.

Biden leads Trump among Hispanics by just 48-43 percent, numbers that could mean trouble for the former vice president in the nation's biggest swing state.


...

"If Biden is going to flip Florida, he has to at least match Clinton's numbers among Hispanics and that looks like it's not going to happen," said Brad Coker, pollster for Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy, who conducted the poll.

...

The Florida poll results follow months of criticism from Hispanic Democrats. Biden's campaign was late in ramping up its efforts to build Hispanic support and fight GOP messaging that Biden, Sen. Kamala Harris and Democrats are socialists -- a message that has resonated in South Florida's Cuban, Venezuelan, Colombian and Nicaraguan communities.

Well, Cubans are mostly in Florida, but maybe some anti-socialist Venezuelans, Columbians, and Nicarguans in other states will push Trump to a win in other states.

digg this
posted by Ace at 07:07 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
t-bird: "I think you mean "bios", Basic Input/Output System ..."

redridinghood: "The beautiful bald eagle needs to have a photoshop ..."

humphreyrobot: "You guys should do a geeky Dirty Jobs show. He ..."

Jimco Industries: "Why exactly didn't the eagles just pick up Frodo I ..."

JackStraw: ">>Ranked Choice Voting is used in a few states and ..."

t-bird: "The bright colors on this post are almost shocking ..."

Mr Aspirin Factory: "Holy fuck. One legal vote for one legal voter. Fu ..."

Brian in New Orleans: "I think Dominion's New Orleans sales engineer me ..."

vmom Critucal Snark Theorist: "Kallisto, yes! thank you ..."

clutch cargo Now 100% Lubricant Free: "Ok, lived in CA my whole life, and I have to say, ..."

President-Elect Boots: "War Eagle! ..."

Brian in New Orleans: "The most expensive module by orders of magnitude, ..."

Recent Entries
Search


Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64