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April 16, 2018

Washington Post Poll: Democrat Lead in Midterms Down to Just 4 Points

Overall, averaging in all of the recent polls, the lead is down to 6.2 points, per Real Clear Politics.

One odd thing, that might not matter either way, is that what 538.com calls "gold" standard polls, those who do live human interviews (as opposed to robocalls), etc., now show the tiniest Democrat lead in forever, while non-"gold" polls show their lead to be about at the peak it's often been at.

It's unclear if this matters. I could see Republican voters being more honest on a robocall survey -- not worrying about the judgment and contempt of a human interviewer -- and yet, Republicans now fare better with human interviewers.

Update: Is the change due to Democrats' determination to ban guns?

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posted by Ace of Spades at 04:22 PM

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