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December 12, 2017

Exit Polls: Voters Split On Whether Roy Moore's Accusers Are Telling the Truth, But 55% Say It's a "Minor" Factor or Not a Factor In Their Decision

Voters are closely split on the allegations against Roy Moore, per preliminary exit poll results—but 55% say they’re a minor factor or not a factor at all in their decision. https://t.co/qjWCbSoasd #ALSen pic.twitter.com/nox2oTfpvM
— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) December 12, 2017

The partisan split among those showing up to vote today is Democrat 37%, Republican 46%, Independent 20%. This sounds a bit bad to me -- I'd expect the Republican affiliation to be higher, if Moore was going to win. I know that many people in the south still claim to be nominally Democrat or Independent while voting Republican, but still, I'd think this should be higher, were Moore going to win:

Early exits:

Party ID in #ALsen
Democrats - 37%
Republicans - 43%
Independents - 20%

Born-again or Evangelical Christian?
Yes: 43%
No: 57%

Abortion?
Legal: 40%
Illegal: 54%
— Brandon (@Brand_Allen) December 12, 2017

The "abortion illegal" number also seems low to me. You can't trust exit polls much, especially with a candidate perceived as disapproved by the media, but these polls don't look good to me for Moore.

posted by Ace at 07:14 PM

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This sounds a bit bad to me -- I'd expect the Republican affiliation to be higher, if Moore was going to win. I know that many people in the south still claim to be nominally Democrat or Independent while voting Republican, but still, I'd think this should be higher, were Moore going to win: Early exits: Party ID in #ALsen Democrats - 37% Republicans - 43% Independents - 20% Born-again or Evangelical Christian? Yes: 43% No: 57% Abortion? Legal: 40% Illegal: 54% — Brandon (@Brand_Allen) December 12, 2017 The "abortion illegal" number also seems low to me. You can't trust exit polls much, especially with a candidate perceived as disapproved by the media, but these polls don't look good to me for Moore. posted by Ace at 07:14 PM \| Access Comments <script language="javascript" src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/addyn/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=700;cookie=info;target=_blank;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]"></script><noscript><a href="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adlink/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" target="_blank"><img src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adserv/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" border="0" width="300" height="250"></a></noscript>	Recent Comments Sponge - Fck Cancer: "[i] The Constitutional Court in the European Unio ..." Orson: "314 The Constitutional Court in the European Union ..." Pedocrat: "30 A child is obviously lost and crying. If you're ..." BurtTC: "Instead, we should have socialized medicine for al ..." 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