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February 15, 2017

Poll: Trump Ahead of Warren for 2020 Race

But didn't you hear? Trump will not even serve out one term, let alone stand for election for another!

The Morning Consult poll has it 42-36 in Trump's favor. Yeah I know the "under 50%" rule for incumbents, but we're rewriting a lot of "rules" lately. And there is a pronounced Shy Trump Voter effect, wherein a lot of people who actually support Trump won't say so to pollsters.

Ask the folks in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. And Florida. And Ohio. And North Carolina. And hell, even Virginia, where Trump came close.



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posted by Ace at 02:04 PM

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