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September 21, 2016
FoxNews Poll: Trump Ahead in Three Battlegrounds, NV, NC, and OH
Nevada: Trump 43%, Clinton 40%.
North Carolina: Trump 45%, Clinton 40%.
Ohio: Trump 42%, Clinton 37%.
Good news for Trump, of course, but I'm sure you've heard by now (as everyone keeps repeating it, especially Hillary sympathizers) but Trump has a very hard row to hoe: He has to win:
All of Romney's base states
All of the battlegrounds
then flip at a least one of the big states, or two of the smaller states, which are considered fairly solid for Hillary. (I think Virginia is considered as part of this last category, and is no longer considered a battleground. Other battlegrounds he would need to flip include Colorado, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania).
Trump will probably keep all of Romney's states. Increasingly, he looks like he'll win the battlegrounds.
But there is still the question of that last state -- winning all the battlegrounds only gives him something like 254 Electoral votes to Hillary's 277.
Oh, by the way: NFL Monday Night Football ratings dropped 11% game 2-to-game 2 from 2015 to 2016. This week's game, Eagles v. Bears, wasn't a great one, but game 2 of 2015 (Jets vs. Colts) wasn't really a super-high-interest game either.
#TFWYA
(the fuck with y'all)