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Meanwhile, there are a lot more delegates willing to vote against Trump at the convention than I thought -- 700 opposed, and another 900 "in play."
That would be enough to deny Trump the nomination -- if the rules were written so that delegates were free to vote their conscience.
Which could happen:
No fewer than 20 members of the Rules Committee told the Journal in interviews that they’d consider supporting a rule to unbind the delegates. Remember, it takes only 28 to issue a minority report and force a vote; if you believe Unruh, they already have that many commitments plus a few to spare. The whip counts of the Committee that I’ve seen so far have put the number in favor of unbinding far lower than that — one from Politico last week had it at just six committed members while this morning WaPo claimed fewer than 10 were onboard. Evidently there’s a small but very significant contingent on the Rules Committee that isn’t ready to publicly support a coup effort against Trump but is entertaining it privately. If there’s momentum towards ousting him, that support may firm up and then anything can happen.