Greg Gutfeld Drunk-Tweets and It's Epic [Y-not] | Main | Riot Thread [Y-not]
June 26, 2016

Nevada Senate Race [Y-not]

While we wait for the rest of the cobloggers to sober up make bail, here's a quick thread to amuse you.

According to the Cook Political Report Senate race ratings, the Democrats have a good shot at re-taking the Senate. However, two seats currently held by Democrats might flip: Nevada (which they rate as a tossup) and Colorado (which they rate as a leans Democrat). Although there's some concern about the GOP losing the Senate, I thought it might be instructive to look at the Republicans' prospects of flipping Harry Reid's old seat.

Here's what Harry Enten from FiveThirtyEight had to say the week before the state primary:


How sweet would it be for Republicans if they could win the Democratic minority leader's seat? Six years ago, many political observers thought just that would happen, but in 2010 then-Majority Leader Harry Reid won re-election by 6 percentage points, despite polls showing him trailing. The unpopular Reid, who is retiring, won because Republicans picked a disaster of a candidate in Sharron Angle.

Angle is running again but will almost certainly be defeated in the Republican primary by Heck, a member of the U.S. House. [Y-not: Heck won.] Heck is about as strong a nominee as Republicans could hope for. He represents a swing district just outside of Las Vegas, the 3rd.

Heck's Democratic opponent is likely to be Masto, a former state attorney general. [Y-not: Masto won.] She's Reid's hand-picked successor and probably one of the best options the Democrats had. Masto, who has Mexican heritage, will be relying on Nevada's growing Hispanic population, which has taken the state from a Republican lean to fairly easy Obama victories in 2008 and 2012. Trump's position at the top of the ticket might hurt Heck; we've already seen Nevada's other Republican senator, Dean Heller, say he might not vote for Trump. Heck has led in the very few surveys of the race released so far, though polling in Nevada has tended to underestimate Democratic candidates in past elections.

Heller proved in 2012 that a Republican can win a Senate race in Nevada even as a Democrat carries the state at the presidential level. We'll have to wait and see whether Heck can follow in his path.

I didn't see recent polling on the Nevada race, but a couple of Super PACs have already started running ads:

First up, the Koch PAC ad targeting Catherine Cortez Masto, the Democrats' candidate for Senate:

And here's a link to an ad by another super PAC supporting the Republican candidate, Joe Heck:

Do any of our Nevada morons have a sense for Heck's chances? It sure would be nice to flip that seat.

Well, at least we'll still have the House!

**Updated with link to AoSHQDD's results on the Senate race.**

digg this
posted by Open Blogger at 02:30 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
booknlass: "There was an element of Hitchcock's voyerism and o ..."

Gordon: "As promised, Pomegranate Salsa Do not wear whi ..."

the guy that moves pianos for a living: "Dawn of Man is my favorite part of 2001. When Star ..."

Aetius451AD: "King Kong is Jewish? Who knew? Posted by: All Hai ..."

qdpsteve: "Primordial, what do you think of that scene? ..."

Hairyback Guy: "So let's talk about Yaphet Kotto ... wait ... neve ..."

logprof: "Malcolm Young was not so young. ..."

qdpsteve: "Gundrop, yup! ..."

Aetius451AD: "625 Kim Novak She up & quit Hollywood. Too b ..."

ThePrimordialOrderedPair: "[i]The opening scene in 2001, with the apes/neande ..."

Gundrop Gorilla is in trouble bubble: "Kim Novak She up & quit Hollywood. Too bad t ..."

All Hail Eris, She-Wolf of the 'Ettes 'Ettes: "Anyone else notice all the actors discussed in thi ..."

Recent Entries
Search


MuNuvians
Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
News/Chat
Archives
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64