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March 29, 2016

Democratic Race Tighter Than Ever, Nationally: Clinton 49, Sanders 43

A schlonging?

After suffering significant losses to Bernie Sanders last weekend in the Washington, Alaska, and Hawaii Democratic caucuses, Hillary Clinton finds herself in a closer race than she perhaps expected after rolling to a series of wins earlier this month.....

This is the smallest gap since the beginning of the tracking poll in late December.

National support for Clinton now stands at 49 percent down from 53 percent last week. Sanders support is at 43 percent up slightly from 41 percent last week.

Hillary leads Sanders by about 700 delegates if you count the "pledged superdelegates," but only by around 300 and change without them.

The pledged delegates could unpledge themselves if they felt they were backing a loser who might be indicted.

Sanders' growing strength means that he might also, maybe, start winning more delegates than Hillary from here on out. That could set up the embarrassing situation where Hillary wins the nomination, but for the few months before the convention, she's actually the delegate-race loser.*

* As someone rooting for Cruz, this "who is winning lately" analysis seems reasonable to me, but your mileage may vary.


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posted by Ace at 02:58 PM

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