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February 16, 2016

Climate Models Botch Another Prediction: Sea Levels Aren't Rising as Predicted; "Thirsty Continents" Which Suck Up More Excess Water Than Imagined are to Blame

Oh.

So you're saying your climate models assume the numbers of a lot of factors you have very little knowledge about?

I guess we're agreed, then.

Despite the accelerated melting of glaciers and ice sheets, sea levels arenít rising quite as quickly as scientists anticipated. The reason: Continents are absorbing more of the water before it flows into the seas, according to a new study.

Without "getting into the fox hole" for either side of the debate, this physicist says that climate change campaigners are fighting as if this is a "holy war" and are being deceptive about the very serious limits of their predictive abilities and even their understanding of the actual science they're peddling.

Our global system of air currents, ocean currents, cloud patterns, resonant temperature cycles, energy storage and release mechanisms, and further processes is mind-bogglingly complex.

Presently, the best climate models fall many orders of magnitude short of the power and intricacy needed to effectively predict the long-term climate patterns that emerge from the interactions of all these planetary systems. And that's not a failure of science; it's just the reality of how tough the problem is.

Predictions are made by building models using the smartest simplifications we have thought of and running them on the most powerful computers ever built. Basically, it's the best we can do right now.

But there is a major failure of science going on.

The failure is the lack of transparency and honesty about how feeble these models are and how much we should stake on their all-too-fallible forecasts. Thus the same problem continues: climate science has once again botched a prediction that its models were underequipped to make.

He says the global warming cultists are guilty of having a "crusader mentality." Something we see the entire left is infected with.


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posted by Ace at 02:35 PM

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