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January 19, 2016

Um: WMUR/CNN Poll Shows Sanders "Soaring" Over Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire -- 60% to 33%

Okay, this couldn't possibly be right. One in every twenty polls will be wrong well outside the margin of error. (A 95% confidence interval means 19 out of 20 times the actual population will not deviate from the survey population by more than the margin of error; but 1 in 20 times, it will.)

But... it's too delicious not to savor, at least for the moment.

Sanders leads Clinton 60 percent to 33 percent in the latest WMUR/CNN New Hampshire Primary Poll, with former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley at 1 percent and 6 percent undecided.

The University of New Hampshire Survey Center conducted the poll Jan. 13-18 among 420 likely Democratic primary voters. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.8 percent.






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