Open Thread | Main | Open Thread
January 02, 2015


What US Intellegence thought the world would look like in 2015.

The future depicted in the National Intelligence Council's "Global Trends 2015" report, published in December 2000, contains numerous contemporary echoes, as my colleagues at Defense One have pointed out. There's financial volatility; anonymous cyberattacks; widening economic divisions; an increasingly assertive China; a WMD-wielding North Korea; growing illegal migration to the U.S. from Central America; a mercurial, authoritarian Russia that "remains internally weak and institutionally linked to the international system primarily through its permanent seat on the UN Security Council"; a Middle East tormented by "demographic pressures, social unrest, religious and ideological extremism, and terrorism," and shaped by the destabilizing impact of new technology and the allure of political Islam.

It seems like they did a fairly decent job predicting the trends but had quite a few noticeable misses.

What are your predictions for 2015?

digg this
posted by BenK at 08:50 AM

| Access Comments

Recent Comments
Observer: "[i] "Biden to impose South Africa travel ban[/i] ..."

Lady in Black[/i][/b][/u]: "Every action by Biden is illegal and illegitimate. ..."

Village Idiot's Apprentice [/s] [/b] [/i]: "Did CNN violate journalistic ethics by removing 'e ..."

Your Betters in Perpetual Government [/b] [/s] [/i]: "'First I have to be sworn in to give you a timelin ..."

Granny Clampett: "'British SAS marksman kills five Islamic State fig ..."

rhennigantx: "'First I have to be sworn in to give you a timelin ..."

Village Idiot's Apprentice [/s] [/b] [/i]: "G'morning, all. ..."

Lady in Black[/i][/b][/u]: "So Meggy Big Mac was lied to by Biden and she can' ..."

rhennigantx: "What about Central American caravans? Posted by: ..."

rhennigantx: "British SAS marksman kills five Islamic State figh ..."

Ripley: ""Biden to impose South Africa travel ban to combat ..."

JT: " Who? Posted by: Don The guy on first ! ..."

Recent Entries

Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64