Ace of Spades HQ

« Obama's Blather About Income Inequality Is Just His Most Recent MacGuffin | Main | South Carolina Will Soon Pass Law Purporting to Outlaw Obamacare In the State »

December 09, 2013

Charlie Cook: This is One of the Most Dramatic Shifts on the Generic Ballot Question I've Ever Seen

At Hot Air.

The Democratic numbers from the generic-ballot test dropped from 45 percent to 37 percent, and Republicans moved up to 40 percent. This 10-point net shift from a Democratic advantage of 7 points to a GOP edge of 3 points in just over a month is breathtaking, perhaps an unprecedented swing in such a short period. Occurring around Election Day, such a shift would probably amount to the difference between Democrats picking up at least 10 House seats, possibly even the 17 needed for a majority, and instead losing a half-dozen or so seats.

Look, I have to apologize. This was a post in draft from Friday. I am just not seeing any news I want to write about. It's a slow news day, which is something that I should just deal with (and post what there is of the slow news), but I keep looking for better and I'm not coming up with much.

So, for now, Open Thread.

posted by Ace at 05:46 PM

| Access Comments


Advertise Here! Intermarkets' Privacy Policy Support Donate to Ace of Spades HQ! Contact Ace: aceofspadeshq at gee mail.com Buck: buck.throckmorton at protonmail.com CBD: cbd at cutjibnewsletter.com joe mannix: mannix2024 at proton.me MisHum: petmorons at gee mail.com J.J. Sefton: sefton at cutjibnewsletter.com Recent Entries Daily Tech News 22 January 2025 Tuesday Overnight Open Thread - January 21, 2025 [scampydog] Head Tilts Cafe Quick Hits LOL: CNN and the Insane Left (But I Repeat Myself) Claim a Cavalcade of Horrors In Wake of Trump's Recognition of the Reality of Biological Sex Julie Kelly: The DC Gulag Is Slow-Rolling the Release of J6 Political Prisoners Woke DEI Female Commandant of the Coast Guard Fired for Elevating DEI over Core Mission of Protecting the Coast, Failing to Stop Fentanyl Smuggling, and a General "Erosion of Trust" The Democrats' Woke "Pastor" Delivers Progressive Policy Demands Disguised as Biblical Commandments at Ostensibly Non-Partisan National Prayer Service HISTORIC: Kamala Harris Is the First Black Woman to Deliver a Word Salad Speech as a Private Citizen Trump Pardons 1500 J6ers (But Not Ray Epps or the Antifa Provocateur) Absent Friends Bandersnatch 2024 GnuBreed 2024 Captain Hate 2023 moon_over_vermont 2023 westminsterdogshow 2023 Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022 Dave In Texas 2022 Jesse in D.C. 2022 OregonMuse 2022 redc1c4 2021 Tami 2021 Chavez the Hugo 2020 Ibguy 2020 Rickl 2019 Joffen 2014 AoSHQ Writers Group A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published. Contact OrangeEnt for info: maildrop62 at proton dot me Cutting The Cord And Email Security Cutting The Cord [Joe Mannix (not a cop)] Cutting The Cord: It's Easier Than You Think [Blaster] Private Email and Secure Signatures [Hogmartin] Moron Meet-Ups	« Obama's Blather About Income Inequality Is Just His Most Recent MacGuffin \| Main \| South Carolina Will Soon Pass Law Purporting to Outlaw Obamacare In the State » December 09, 2013 Charlie Cook: This is One of the Most Dramatic Shifts on the Generic Ballot Question I've Ever Seen At Hot Air. The Democratic numbers from the generic-ballot test dropped from 45 percent to 37 percent, and Republicans moved up to 40 percent. This 10-point net shift from a Democratic advantage of 7 points to a GOP edge of 3 points in just over a month is breathtaking, perhaps an unprecedented swing in such a short period. Occurring around Election Day, such a shift would probably amount to the difference between Democrats picking up at least 10 House seats, possibly even the 17 needed for a majority, and instead losing a half-dozen or so seats. Look, I have to apologize. This was a post in draft from Friday. I am just not seeing any news I want to write about. It's a slow news day, which is something that I should just deal with (and post what there is of the slow news), but I keep looking for better and I'm not coming up with much. So, for now, Open Thread. posted by Ace at 05:46 PM \| Access Comments <script language="javascript" src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/addyn/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=700;cookie=info;target=_blank;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]"></script><noscript><a href="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adlink/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" target="_blank"><img src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adserv/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" border="0" width="300" height="250"></a></noscript>	Recent Comments Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars (TM)[/b][/i][/s][/u]: " I modestly propose that every one of Biden's bro ..." Grumpy and Recalcitrant[/i][/b]: "@66/CrotchetyOldJarhead: "[i]Good morning! The id ..." Village Idiot's Apprentice : "Looks like the White House culinary advisor that w ..." Grumpy and Recalcitrant[/i][/b]: "@60/Krebs v Carnot: "[i] { Biden-pardoned and fel ..." Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars (TM)[/b][/i][/s][/u]: "[i] LOL...too little sleep. I have no idea how a ..." CrotchetyOldJarhead : "Good morning! The idea that we are seriously pursu ..." AltonJackson: " g'mornin', 'rons ..." Grumpy and Recalcitrant[/i][/b]: "@59/Altaria Pilgram: And they're probably delight ..." lizabth: "LOL...too little sleep. I have no idea how a smil ..." Village Idiot's Apprentice: "Jamie Raskin? That dude lies every time he exha ..." lizabth: "I'm still waiting for the anti- Kavanaugh women (w ..." Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars (TM)[/b][/i][/s][/u]: " [ Biden-pardoned and felony-adjacent Congresscr ..." Recent Entries Daily Tech News 22 January 2025 Tuesday Overnight Open Thread - January 21, 2025 [scampydog] Head Tilts Cafe Quick Hits LOL: CNN and the Insane Left (But I Repeat Myself) Claim a Cavalcade of Horrors In Wake of Trump's Recognition of the Reality of Biological Sex Julie Kelly: The DC Gulag Is Slow-Rolling the Release of J6 Political Prisoners Woke DEI Female Commandant of the Coast Guard Fired for Elevating DEI over Core Mission of Protecting the Coast, Failing to Stop Fentanyl Smuggling, and a General "Erosion of Trust" The Democrats' Woke "Pastor" Delivers Progressive Policy Demands Disguised as Biblical Commandments at Ostensibly Non-Partisan National Prayer Service HISTORIC: Kamala Harris Is the First Black Woman to Deliver a Word Salad Speech as a Private Citizen Trump Pardons 1500 J6ers (But Not Ray Epps or the Antifa Provocateur) Search Search this site: Polls! Polls! Polls! Frequently Asked Questions What is the Deal with the Cowbell? Why is the Ace of Spades called "the Death Card"? The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick Primary Document: The Audio Paul Anka Haiku Contest Announcement Integrity SAT's: Entrance Exam for Paul Anka's Band AllahPundit's Paul Anka 45's Collection AnkaPundit: Paul Anka Takes Over the Site for a Weekend (Continues through to Monday's postings) George Bush Slices Don Rumsfeld Like an Fckin' Hammer Top Top Tens Democratic Forays into Erotica New Shows On Gore's DNC/MTV Network Nicknames for Potatoes, By People Who Really* Hate Potatoes Star Wars Euphemisms for Self-Abuse Signs You're at an Iraqi "Wedding Party" Signs Your Clown Has Gone Bad Signs That You, Geroge Michael, Should Probably Just Give It Up Signs of Hip-Hop Influence on John Kerry NYT Headlines Spinning Bush's Jobs Boom Things People Are More Likely to Say Than "Did You Hear What Al Franken Said Yesterday?" Signs that Paul Krugman Has Lost His Frickin' Mind All-Time Best NBA Players, According to Senator Robert Byrd Other Bad Things About the Jews, According to the Koran Signs That David Letterman Just Doesn't Care Anymore Examples of Bob Kerrey's Insufferable Racial Jackassery Signs Andy Rooney Is Going Senile Other Judgments Dick Clarke Made About Condi Rice Based on Her Appearance Collective Names for Groups of People John Kerry's Other Vietnam Super-Pets Cool Things About the XM8 Assault Rifle Media-Approved Facts About the Democrat Spy Changes to Make Christianity More "Inclusive" Secret John Kerry Senatorial Accomplishments John Edwards Campaign Excuses John Kerry Pick-Up Lines Changes Liberal Senator George Michell Will Make at Disney Torments in Dog-Hell Greatest Hitjobs The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny More Margaret Cho Abuse Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed" Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means Wonkette's Stand-Up Act Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report! Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet The House of Love: Paul Krugman A Michael Moore Mystery (TM) The Dowd-O-Matic! Liberal Consistency and Other Myths Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate "Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long) The Donkey ("The Raven" parody) Syndicate this site (XML) Powered by Movable Type 2.64