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January 30, 2013
PPP(D)- MA Senate Brown Up over Markey, Lynch
A new Public Policy Polling release shows a much closer race in Massachusetts, as to be expected, than the MassInc released before Lynch made his intentions more clear, giving former U.S. Senator Scott Brown a three point edge (48-45) over Congressman Ed Markey and a nine point lead (48-39) over Congressman Stephen Lynch.
The open race for Secretary of State Kerry's seat will be tight but should favor the Republican, as Brown has proven his ease in a special election before and will be facing a far less Democrat-heavy electorate in June (PPP's sample is only +24 D/R for this race, which looks more like a repeat of the 2010 turnout). On the Democratic primary Markey holds a sizable lead over Lynch, but that may be because he had formerly declared way ahead of him. Former Senator Brown enjoys a +7 approval rating (50/43), better than either of his Democratic rivals.
PPP also asked voters about a Brown v D matchup in the upcoming open race for Governor, indicating he has a much more solid lead if he were to wait. I find that question a bit screwy since the focus has been on Kerry's seat and it may be an attempt to "trial balloon" a race, but there ya go. The election is June 25th.