Some Good News: Both Romney and Obama Camps Expect Romney to Carry Florida

So, there's that.

And I think we'll carry VA and NC, too.

Now, it's all going to come down to Ohio. Here's the problem: It's looking like the polls were reasonably correct. If the polls were reasonably correct, then Obama's got something like a 2% lead in Ohio. To overcome that, we'd need stronger-than-we-were-expecting numbers.

So, at this point, I don't think I'm letting out any secrets when I say we're not favored to win this.

It's still possible. I think the troika of FL, VA, and NC go our way. And then we see what's going on in Ohio.

Oh, and then we'd still need one more of these: Iowa, Colorado, New Hampshire.

A little more bad news: Richard Mourdock has lost to Joe Donnelly for Indiana senate. That's a turnover in favor of the Democrats.

posted by Ace at 09:34 PM

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