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November 05, 2012

A brief note on Wisconsin

Early voting and absentees have been stressed by both campaigns, and lauded as a show of real strength.

Currently, 54,000 early votes have been cast in Dane. 52,000 in Waukesha (a county that has 100,000 fewer residents). The combined Republican WOW (Waukesha-Ozaukee-Washington) early vote is 1500 shy of Milwaukee's impressive 80k.**

Numbers numbers numbers, you say. What the hell does it all mean?

Well, remember back in June during the recall when the Democrats were boasting about their great GOTV, their drive to get voters out and early?
When someone pointed out then that Waukesha was only 2k shy of Dane's total for early, they said it meant nothing.

After the election, many observers, including the always snarky Dave Weigel, noted there was an obvious drop in the Democratic vote statewide, thanks to the recall being held in June- when a particular bloc in Madison isn't around.

Thats fair.

So, explain why the gap is 2k again- Dane over Waukesha - if the GOTV ops by OfA targeting these college students is supposed to be so impressive. I suspect the same people who were going to deliver Barrett a victory are now responsible for doing the same for the President.

If that is the case, I like Romney's chances even more.

**numbers from the GAB website GAB.WI.GOV

Note, since this post lacks the zazz of Ace's, I give you the Badger Song by the Dead Milkmen.

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posted by CAC at 05:10 PM

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