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October 31, 2012
GOP Routing Democrats in Pennsylvania Absentee-Ballot Returns, 55%-36%
As far as history: the GOP edged the Democrats in absentee balloting in 2008, but only by 2%, in a 10% loss to Obama.
Absentee voting is a small slice of the voting pie, and not on the same scale as early voting. For example, in 2008, there were just shy of 300,000 absentee votes cast. So far in this cycle, 115,000 total absentee ballots have been returned.
I assume more ballots will be returned in the coming days.
Compared to 2008, Republicans have already cast ballots equal to about 1/2 of their 2008 level. Democrats, on the other hand, have cast 1/3rd of their 2008 level.
If Democrats are fired up in this election, why are they dallying about sending in their ballots?
It seems an indicator of both ground game and party enthusiasm.