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October 25, 2012

New WaPo/ABC Daily Tracker Has Romney Up 50% to 47%;
Leads With Independents By 19 -- NINETEEN -- Points

And the partisan split? D+4!

This is a very naughty poll. I need to spank it.

The WaPo points out that 50/47 is actually a statistical tie (Margin of Error), which I guess is true, but they go on to suggest that it's a genuine lead, inferring from other stats.

Romney does now boast a statistically — and substantively — important lead on the economy, which has long been the central issue of the race. When it comes to handling the nation’s struggling economy, 52 percent of likely voters say they trust Romney more, while 43 percent say they have more faith in the president.

And just as the challenger has leaped ahead on this score, he has effectively neutralized what has been a consistent fall-back for Obama: economic empathy. In the new poll, 48 percent say Obama is more in tune with the economic problems people are having, and nearly as many, 46 percent, say Romney is the one who is more in touch. Just two weeks ago, Obama had a nine-point lead on the question.

One more thing they point out:

Should [Romney's 19 point lead with independents] stick, it would be the sharpest tilt among independents in a presidential election since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 landslide win.





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