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October 22, 2012

TheYoungCons.com Ad Gonna Rock Your Face Off

This is cut in that scary (compelling) RGA style. I swear, Romney used to run ads like this in the primaries; where are they now?

This one might be a little too conservative-leaning to make a good general election ad. It sort of scares me, but in a good way. Like The Predator.

But it sure will fire up conservatives. Send it around! Everything is on the line.

And I'll just sneak in another poll here: Monmouth University has it 48-45 for Romney nationally, a reversal from a month ago (48-45 Obama).

There's a lot of good stuff here.

The election remains particularly tight among female voters, with Obama earning 49% of this group’s vote to 45% for Romney. This is similar to the Monmouth University Poll’s split among women voters earlier this month. Prior to the first debate, though, the Democratic incumbent enjoyed a double digit lead among women. Gov. Romney holds a sizable 51% to 40% lead among male voters right now.

The Republican nominee is trusted more to handle a range of issues. His biggest advantage is on the federal budget and national debt. More than half (51%) of likely voters trust Romney on this issue compared to 42% who prefer Obama. This marks a gain from the 48% to 44% edge Romney had earlier this month. Prior to that, voters were split on which candidate would better handle the deficit and debt.

Romney’s advantage on jobs and the economy has also grown since the second debate. He has an edge over Obama on this issue – 50% trust the challenger to do a better job and 44% prefer the incumbent. This is up from his narrower 49% to 45% lead after the first debate. Romney has also pulled ahead on Social Security and Medicare, claiming a narrow 48% to 45% edge on this issue. After the first debate, likely voters were split – 46% trusted Obama more to 45% who preferred Romney – but earlier in the fall, Obama had a distinct advantage on this issue.

Romney also draws even with Obama on foreign policy – 46% of likely voters trust the Republican more on this issue compared to 47% who favor the Democrat. This is similar to the 45% Romney to 47% Obama split recorded after the first debate and an improvement for Romney since mid- September.

More than half of likely voters (56%) report watching the entire second debate and another 24% watched part of it, which is slightly less than the number of likely voters who reported watching the first debate. Seven percent of likely voters report that the debate caused them to have a change of heart about which candidate they would support – compared to 9% after the first debate. Among this group, 57% now declare themselves for Romney to 32% for Obama. After the first debate, those who changed their mind went for Romney by a larger 73% to 18% margin.

Let me stress that Romney gained from the first and second debate. His numbers on most key issues improved.

I want to stress that because I said that would happen and I want some damn credit.

Oh sure, you said it too. But I had so much on the line: blog credibility. By some estimates that's worth ten, fifteen dollars.

Mitt Romney’s personal ratings also continue to improve, standing at 49% favorable to 39% unfavorable among likely voters. This builds on the 46% positive to 39% negative ratings he received after the first debate. Prior to that event, voters were almost evenly divided on their ratings of the GOP nominee. Voter opinion of Barack Obama has been almost evenly divided throughout the entire campaign. The current results show little change. The Democratic incumbent holds a 45% favorable to 45% unfavorable rating.

Romney's favs are higher.

Voters shifted their opinion about the two running mates since the vice presidential candidates debated on October 11. Republican Paul Ryan now earns a 45% favorable to 34% unfavorable rating, up from 38% positive to 33% negative in September. Democrat Joe Biden’s rating is upside down at 37% favorable to 46% unfavorable, a larger net negative gap than the 34% favorable to 39% unfavorable rating he held last month.

Oh, so now you're 46% unfavorable?!

The biggest stat here is that Independents favor Romney over Obama by 52-33.

That's a whoopin'.

Sorry about all the poll stuff. I will turn to something else, promise.


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posted by Ace at 05:28 PM

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