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October 19, 2012

Rasmussen: Tomorrow's Polling Will Show a Small Post-Debate Obama Bounce
My Bad, I Mean Small Post-Debate Romney Bounce

Did I tell you bitchez Romney would gain 1-2 points?

I did.

Rasmussen says that the first track of all post-debate polls will show a "slight" tick towards Romney.

These updates are based upon nightly polling and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, roughly one-third of the interviews for today’s update were completed before Tuesday night’s presidential debate. In the two nights of polling conducted since the debate, Romney has a slight advantage. Tomorrow morning (Saturday) will be the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted after the second debate.

Rasmussen currently has them tied at 48-48.

PPP Polling, a liberal-leaning firm (Kos hired them to do his poll, for example), just tweeted...

Mitt Romney leads our new New Hampshire poll 49-48. Obama had led by 6-8 pts in our polling before the first debate

Romney has a 52/45 advantage over Obama in New Hampshire on the economy

NH voters think Obama won debate by 8 pts, still support Romney by 1. Democrats need to accept debate this week was not a big game changer

As I said, it was confirmatory. Romney won on all the biggest issues of the campaign. When people say "Obama won," they are talking about debate performance, which is a sort of sophisticated way to look at things, but apparently people are more sophisticated than the chattering classes (and I include myself here) give them credit for.

That said, PPP -- which I remind you has a Democratic slant, and is a robopoller -- has Obama up nationally with a 1 point lead, 48-47.

Meanwhile, in Gallup, Romney loses one point. So it's back to 51-45. Back to a six point lead. Romney still over 50%; Obama still mired in a losing 45%.

PPP.. also has Romney with a miniscule lead in Iowa:

Romney leads Obama 49-48 in Iowa as well, although Obama does have a 66/32 early vote lead there



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posted by Ace at 01:01 PM

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