Surprise: The Daily Kos Poll Has Obama Ahead
Oh Wait A Minute, No They Don't; Romney Now Leads Obama There

As Twitchy said, someone needs to keep an eye on the despondant, excitable Andrew Sullivan.

Whose tears are flowing even more freely now.

But back to the poll. They have it 49-47, advantage Romney, Romney's first lead all year.

One bit of spin they offer, which I'm not sure is spin-- Romney's biggest nights were Thursday and Friday, after the debate. They claim (and this may be true) that that bounce dissipated over the weekend in Rasmussen and Gallup; making it a bounce and not a lasting advantage.

Guess we'll have to see.

More: Romney is now barely ahead, 49-47, in Rasmussen's swing-state polling; ARG has him slipping into a a one-point edge in Ohio, 48-47.

These are all MoE figures but as polling tends to overstate Democrat support and understate Republican support, I think it's more likely than not they are showing a small, but real, lead.

Meanwhile, Zogby -- remember when he used to matter? -- says it's a tie, but Romney leads on key issues.

Little more than a week ago, heading into the first debate of the campaign season, Mr. Obama led on the economy and national security, as well as handling of energy, immigration and foreign affairs. In each of those categories he either topped or was just below the magic number of 50 percent support.

But that changed in the latest The Washington Times/Zogby Poll conducted by Zogby Analytics, released Monday, which gave Mr. Romney a 48 percent to 45 percent advantage on national security and a 50 percent to 44 percent advantage on jobs and the economy.

Gallup is finally switching over to LVs, and they say that their new numbers will also show a tie.

posted by Ace at 11:55 AM

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