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August 16, 2012
CNN Moves Wisconsin From "Lean Obama" to "Toss Up;" Rasmussen Puts Romney/Ryan One Point Ahead
Wisconsin is now indisputably in play.
According to the CNN/ORC International survey, which was conducted entirely after Romney added Ryan to the GOP ticket, 49% of registered voters in Wisconsin say they back President Barack Obama, with 45% supporting Romney. The president's four point advantage over the presumptive Republican presidential nominee is within the survey's sampling error.
Two other polls conducted last week, before the Ryan announcement, indicated the president holding a single digit advantage in a state he won by 13 points in the 2008 presidential election.
One of those was the WMUR poll putting the race at a 3 point Obama lead -- Margin of Error. And the silly-pants PPP poll only gives Obama a 6 point lead. Both of those polls show a big 6 point swing in Romney's favor.
Rasmussen shows it going from 49-46, Obama, to 48-47, Romney/Ryan. That's a four-point shift, which is actually smaller than the shift in the WMUR and PPP polls.
CNN, strangely, does not note the size of the shift from the last poll.