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July 16, 2012

$100 Million In Negative Ads, And All Obama Managed Was A Deadlock

Some are wondering if Obama isn't weaker than he seems.

So the Obama team has shot its wad. Its opponent has more ammo and more money now. Romney hasn’t been mortally wounded. And there isn’t money from Obama to keep up the 4-to-1 spending barrage. In fact without it, Obama might well have fallen behind in the race. So the Obama team pleads for money and turns up the volume of the attacks. (After calling Romney a criminal in July, what’s left for September and October?)

William Galeston claims that Obama is running a Bush 2004 style campaign, but wonders if that can win for Obama. After all, Obama is an a worse position than Bush was in 2004.

[I]t’s not too early to say that Obama’s vital signs look dicey. Over the past 33 months, his job approval has been lower than George W. Bush’s at a comparable time in his presidency for all but one week. Bush averaged above 50 percent in the quarter before his successful reelection campaign, while Obama has been stuck in the 46-48 percent range for months. And the famous “wrong track” measure now stands at 63 percent, versus 55 percent in the days preceding the vote in 2004. If these two numbers don’t improve for Obama, his presidency will be in jeopardy. And they probably won’t—unless the economy perks up noticeably.

One thing that has to be remembered, though, is that Bain is not Obama's Big Attack.

Mediscare is his biggest attack -- demolishing Romney among seniors over his support of the unpopular (and yet wise) Ryan plan.

He hasn't played that card yet because he doesn't want to waste it so far out from the election. That's something we'll be seeing in September.


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posted by Ace at 12:07 PM

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