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July 09, 2012
Romney Senior Staff: Why That Obama Is a Liar, and We Plan To Start Calling Him Such
Useful, I think.
Obama's ads are raking Romney for Bain, and then you have Robert Gibbs saying "no one knows" if Romney is a tax evader. Suggesting he might be (despite no one, including the IRS, ever having alleged such a thing).
But Robert Gibbs wants you to wonder about it.
So yeah, call the Liar a Liar already.
Might as well call him a socialist, too. Or perhaps: "No one knows" if Obama is a Marxist socialist radical indoctrinated at the knees of Marxist terrorist Bill Ayers.
In a conference call Monday morning, senior staff said Romney’s surrogates would stop shying away from the word “lie” in responding to Democrats’ attacks on his business record, and plan to go on TV to call Obama a “liar,” the source said.
This is the only way Obama can beat Romney -- so yes, Romney had better squash this gambit as forcefully as possible.
By the way, I don't really buy this argument from Bill Kristol, echoed/reported by AllahPundit:
The question isn’t whether Romney’s within a few points, it’s why he isn’t leading outright as the Obama economy circles the drain in a tightening, accelerating spiral. Team Mitt seems to be banking on 1980 redux, when an avalanche of swing voters finally gave up on Carter and embraced Reagan after the debates. Is there any strong reason to believe that’ll happen again? With Reagan, the concern was that he was too “radical” and maybe too old to be trusted with the presidency. Once voters felt reassured about his competence and vision, they broke. No one’s worried about those things with Romney, though, despite the Democrats’ dumb insistence that he’s the wingnuttiest nominee since Barry Goldwater. Everyone, including his opponents, accepts that he’s sharp, sober, and cautious. He’s presidential material. So what’s going to change after the debates this time?
I addressed this idea earlier today. I think we tell ourselves stories to make simple, understandable narratives out of complex, multivariable events. Humans are natural storytellers, after all. Our brains cannot process all the enormous information in the world without the aid of stories. (Even our eyes do this: Our eyes engage in a lot of processing of visual stimulus before sending it on to the brain, creating a "story" in pictures for us.)
The story we tell of the Carter/Reagan campaign was that the public was iffy on Carter, but had deep reservations about Reagan's smarts and, actually, sanity, and then the debates settled all that, and then Reagan went ahead.
Well, sort of. First of all, Reagan's huge advantage never really showed up in the polls -- it showed up in election returns. Pollsters were caught off-guard, and were baffled. Witness this 1980 article from Time Magazine, as pollsters speculate what went wrong.
Reagan's landslide challenges the pulse-taker profession
Some polls -- like the NBC poll -- had Reagan surging ahead. Most pollsters did not detect the surge, though.
But a review of the late 1980 polls shows that while Reagan soared over the final week (following the campaign's one and only debate on Oct. 29), the contest up until that point was tightly competitive, not trending toward the incumbent Democratic president. At the time, the Associated Press reported "new polls say the race between the two men remains too close to call."
I think, in retrospect, we tend to seize on one poll -- possibly an outlier, and thought of such at the time -- in order to illustrate whatever point we wish to make. If we want to gin up enthusiasm for a losing cause, we note "Gee, Gallup had Carter ahead by six points a week before the election," overlooking the other polls that put it as even, or put Reagan ahead. And then this one poll becomes our Moral for the Story we tell about the election.
But even beyond that, I think it's wrong to think too humanly about big, complicated, multivariable affairs like political elections. It's a good, simple story that the public had doubts about Reagan, until the one debate satisfied those doubts, and then Reagan one. Nice and clean.
But what if the country were doing well under Carter, and Reagan turned in the same charming, reassuring debate performance? Would the debate have turned the election then?
This gets to my point about underlying factors being crucial, and nearly determinative, to predicting election outcomes.
Yes, voters may have seized upon Reagan's debate performance as a reason to vote for him... but due to underlying factors (economy, hostage crisis) they were already looking for a reason to vote for him.
I'm not sure if his debate performance was a game-changer so much as a justification for people to do what they were already inclined to do.
When couples divorce, there's usually some precipitating event -- a singular event -- which spurs the actual decision. "The last straw," as they say. But the last straw was the last straw only because there were so many hundreds of straws before that one.
I believe in the concept of preference cascades and tipping points. I think the country is poised for a preference cascade; I think most undecided voters are looking for a reason to vote against Obama.
Whether it's a debate, or some Obama gaffe, or a charming Romney appearance on some news show, or a global depression... When you're looking for an excuse, you'll eventually find one.
Obama usually gets 46-48% support, in polls. But I consider 5-8% of that support either nominal (I'm saying I support him, but I really don't) or extraordinarily fragile (I'll give him one last chance).
It's an unhappy marriage. The public is very disappointed in Obama, and by the all gods of Hyboria, is Obama disappointed right back at a public too stupid to understand his awesomeness.
Everyone's looking for an excuse to get out of this unhappy arrangement. Including, I think, in his heart of hearts, Barack Obama.
They'll find that excuse. I don't know what it'll end up being, but they will find it.
And then, in 20 years, the Story of the election will be "Oh right, Romney put the election away when he picked [Insert Candidate Name Here] as Vice President."
But that won't be the truth of it. The election was actually all but decided when the third sub-100,000 jobs report came down, way back in early July.
Jean: "They let women who didn't kill their babies at the ..."
Bigby's Ouija Board: "i read that infantry guy's post a few nights ago. ..."
Bruce: "Morning report now available ..."
Jean: " Out of the blue, she said, 'I don't want to go ov ..."
FenelonSpoke: "Typo-decided to have the baby. ..."
FenelonSpoke: "I think it's a mixture of things. Yes, it's about ..."
Jean: "31 Separate boning missions against isis on Sunday ..."
George Soros: "Who is generous enough to cover the bus charter fo ..."
RickZ: "[I]My BIL said she didn't seem so anti-male when t ..."
FenelonSpoke: "The local town rag says about the march-quoting on ..."
Tim in Illinois Red County Rebel: "Well just "duh" to me. Carl Sandburg Kooledge is i ..."
Village Idiot's Apprentice [/i] [/s] [/b]: ""My BIL said she didn't seem so anti-male when the ..."
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Sean Spicer Blasts the Press
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Paul Anka Haiku Contest Announcement
Integrity SAT's: Entrance Exam for Paul Anka's Band
AllahPundit's Paul Anka 45's Collection
AnkaPundit: Paul Anka Takes Over the Site for a Weekend (Continues through to Monday's postings)
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Democratic Forays into Erotica
New Shows On Gore's DNC/MTV Network
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Star Wars Euphemisms for Self-Abuse
Signs You're at an Iraqi "Wedding Party"
Signs Your Clown Has Gone Bad
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Signs of Hip-Hop Influence on John Kerry
NYT Headlines Spinning Bush's Jobs Boom
Things People Are More Likely to Say Than "Did You Hear What Al Franken Said Yesterday?"
Signs that Paul Krugman Has Lost His Frickin' Mind
All-Time Best NBA Players, According to Senator Robert Byrd
Other Bad Things About the Jews, According to the Koran
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Other Judgments Dick Clarke Made About Condi Rice Based on Her Appearance
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John Kerry's Other Vietnam Super-Pets
Cool Things About the XM8 Assault Rifle
Media-Approved Facts About the Democrat Spy
Changes to Make Christianity More "Inclusive"
Secret John Kerry Senatorial Accomplishments
John Edwards Campaign Excuses
John Kerry Pick-Up Lines
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A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
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Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
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Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
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What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
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Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
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Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
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Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
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