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June 01, 2012

WISCONSIN RECALL: Turnout in Waukesha (city) Up Substantially from 2010

Stories about Madison and Milwaukee are a dime a dozen.

How about this little quick tweet from a newspaper contact inside Waukesha county:

"it did in fact exceed Nov 2010", asking about early voter and absentee returns in one of the big cities in the most conservative county in Wisconsin. As of Thursday. Early voting ends today.

Waukesha County's margin for Walker nearly matched the margin Barrett enjoyed in Milwaukee in 2010. The assumption that ramping up turnout in urban areas is enough for the Democrat, if this development holds, is dangerously foolish.

If Waukesha County voters decide to turn out at rate exceeding 2010, as implied, it can potentially drown out the big city to its east, Tom Barrett's home turf, despite having a fraction the population.

The assumption has been that if the Democrats turn out explosively in Dane and Milwaukee they can beat Walker. That assumption apparently forgot what the rest of the state's voters intend to do.


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posted by CAC at 05:47 PM

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