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May 23, 2012

Poll: Swing State Voters Take Dim View of Dim Vice President


Shirtless Biden Washes Trans Am In White House Driveway, as the immortal Onion article had it

What do we make of this?

In the 12 swing states likely to determine the outcome of the presidential election, only 40% of registered voters view Biden favorably, while 54% view him unfavorably. These numbers are worse than President Obama's who is seen favorably by 50% of registered voters in those same states and unfavorably by 49%.

...

Independents are also down on the VP, with 50% saying they view him unfavorably and 35% holding a favorable view. The survey found the same pattern with voters who are not strongly committed to any candidate, with 52% viewing Biden unfavorably and only 33% holding a favorable view.

Why should Biden's favorability ratings be so low, compared to Obama?

Wasn't Biden supposed to be the reassuring, charming one with decades of serious foreign policy experience?

Wasn't he supposed to make Irish Grandmothers swoon or something?

I would suggest something else:

It's safe to say you don't like Joe Biden. He's white, after all.

How much of the differential could that account for? Oh, probably not a huge chunk. But some of it. Some voters will say they have a high opinion of Obama, while saying they don't have a high opinion of the senile dolt Biden, even though they don't like either.

And on election day, those people will stop counterfeiting their actual beliefs.

If this baseless speculation is anywhere close to correct, Obama could be looking at a very short night on Election Night.


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posted by Ace at 07:53 PM

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