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May 16, 2012

Walker Opens Six Point Can of Whoop Ass On Barnett In Latest Poll

50-44, but don't get complacent, Wisconsin voters.

Just three percent say they are undecided.

This represents a five-point shift to Walker's side -- in the previous poll from late April, Walker barely edged Barnett 48-47.

The Lieutenant Governor is doing okay, but needs your vote too. She's been pitted against the president of a firefighters union. Kleefish is ahead, 47-41.

Meanwhile, Walker's highlighting a survey showing a 33,000+ boost in Wisconsin employment.

And Republicans are somewhat more enthusiastic about voting in the recall than Democrats. 91% of Republicans are "absolutely certain" to vote, as opposed to only 83% of Democrats.

Not too surprisingly, the latest head-to-head figures track Walker's approval rating pretty closely -- he's at 50-46.

One more thing: CAC keeps saying the Republicans can win Wisconsin. Many commenters doubt him on that.

One of CAC's points is that people haven't updated their own private electoral maps yet, but are still thinking in terms of 2000, 2004, and 2008. Some states, CAC says, have become more Republican friendly -- he puts Wisconsin in that category, and Pennsylvania (I think).

Others have become much more Democratic. I forget his list on that, but I'd guess it includes New Hampshire (no longer red at all) and possibly Ohio (no longer Republican leaning, but Democratic leaning) and Virginia (toss up, maybe slight D advantage).

Anyway, the latest polling shows that Romney and Obama are tied at 46 in Wisconsin, among likely voters.

So Wisconsin is genuinely in play, it seems.

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posted by Ace at 03:51 PM

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