Peggy Noonan: Anyone Notice How Boring and Unappealing This President Is? | Main | Overnight Open Thread
April 27, 2012

AOSHQ Wisconsin Recall Projection (4/27/12)

A nail-biter, but not as bad as Prosser Vs Klopp:

wisconsinprojection4272012.jpg

Tom Barrett will win the Democratic nomination, beating Falk in the primary two Tuesdays from now. He will enjoy a boost in support from Democrats bent on revenge, but will be facing strong Republican turnout as well. Over 2.5 million votes will be cast. Walker wins, narrowly, as Milwaukee turnout fails to reach 2010 levels (but stronger than in the 2011 supreme court race). Several counties lost by Prosser flip back, narrowly.

Republicans hold 3 state senate seats out of 4 also up for grabs. The fourth is too close to call, potentially putting the Senate in the hands of the Democrats despite Walker's survival.

Marquette University will be releasing a new poll regarding the election next Wednesday. Data gathered will effect the official forecast, which has seen a slight dip in Walker's overall share of the vote (updated daily on the sidebar). So far the only likely voter poll was commissioned by Daily Kos and found Walker with a larger win of 50-45. I do believe there will be a unification "bounce" for the Democrat post-primary but not enough (at this time) to defeat the incumbent governor.

For the latest projections and polls (including some hours before their official release), follow me on twitter.


digg this
posted by CAC at 09:42 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
bonhomme: "[i]Are you insane?[/i] Lil bit. [i]We know e ..."

CyberCipher: "Empty hat, all prattle. ..."

Mary Cloggenstein Brattleboro Vermont : "Trump lied Ben Ghazi died! ..."

Margarita DeVille: "232----And dying all my boxers purple. Posted ..."

filbert: "[i]Oh, fer shits sake. The left never even acknowl ..."

rickb223 [/s][/b][/i][/u]: "How she even has 1 viewer blows my mind Posted b ..."

Mr. Feverhead: "Trump's Benghazi? Has anyone told Ambassador Reddi ..."

Bitter Clinger and All That (Back from the Dead): ""Trainees die all the time, I guess. Are we just ..."

Deplorable Ian Galt, still loving the Cubs, and dealing with the new reality: "Three reasons why I can't listen to him. Posted ..."

Ben Had: "I piss in the face of every leftist and I have a g ..."

CharlieBrown'sDildo: "You ... you watch TV and listen to radio in real t ..."

Witwickian Sage (muh IP code is : "223 Oh, fer shits sake. The left never even acknow ..."

Recent Entries
Search


MuNuvians
Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
News/Chat
Archives
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64