Intermarkets' Privacy Policy
Support


Donate to Ace of Spades HQ!





Recent Entries
MBM Revives "Weird" Attack on Romney | Main | Rubio's DREAM, a Political Nightmare
April 19, 2012

PPP: 46% of those Polled Say They Voted for Obama in 2008; 46% Say McCain; 8% Say "I Don't Remember"

Hot little catch from @conartcritc (CAC): PPP's new poll shows Romney "catching up" to Obama. I put that in quotes because I think Romney's already ahead, but whatever, Democratic polling outfit. It's now, they say 49 Obama 46 Romney, but that's an improvement from February's Obama 49 Romney 42.

Even if a poll is biased, directionality matters. If it's biased in similar ways every time it's taken, the direction of poll numbers should be relevant, even if you can't quite trust the percentages.

Romney's seen a massive improvement in his personal favorability numbers over the last 2 months as GOP voters have unified around him. He's gone from a -28 spread (29/57) up to a -12 one (39/51). Most of the improvement has come with Republicans, going from 43/41 to 67/22. His numbers with Democrats are steady and he's seen a little bit of improvement with independents from 32/55 to 36/50, although he remains unpopular.

Yeah, you know, Romney's low favorability ratings are largely due to Republicans not liking him the way other nominees have been liked. But that is mostly temporary.

Anyway, on to #conartcritic's catch. From the full results...

2008votequestionPPP.png

There are two ways to read this. First, maybe this sample oversamples Republicans. The 2008 split was 54 (almost) to 47.

Okay, that's possible.

What @conartcritic suggests is that 8% of people who "don't remember"? Yeah, he says maybe they sure do remember, but don't want to admit it.

Buyer's remorse, maybe.

It's a famous factoid that when polled a decade after JFK's assassination, 75% or so of the public claims to have voted for him.

Which is silly; 1960 was a close election.

But people remember things how they wish they'd actually been.

I find it hard to believe that 8% of the public literally cannot remember who they voted for three and a half years ago.

This is all sort of "It seems to me" without numbers -- like the typical percent who says they can't remember. So, this is half-baked at this point.

Meanwhile, a poll says that Obama's advantage with the young is only... seven points?

And also meanwhile, are Obama's favorability numbers something to write home about? Nope!

While the media continues wishcasting about Obama's favorables being higher, they keep overlooking an important fact: Obama's unfavorables are higher too. And higher than his favorables, in fact.



digg this
posted by Ace at 04:33 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
Bigby's Chopstick-Fail : "I got lots of duck and soy sauce laying around ..."

Shep Smith: "Everyone here should just shut up about Ebola and ..."

McCoy, not a real doctor: "http://preview.tinyurl.com/klet9xt Another first- ..."

Fritz: "This post is lined with mucus. ..."

rickb223[/s][/b][/I]: "Concern over Ebola, not so much. Oh no, is that ..."

Eric Red Holder: "Posted by: J.J. Sefton at October 30, 2014 08:41 A ..."

Thin veneer of civility: "What are all the rest of you doing?Not being a bee ..."

Ricardo Kill: ""Quit your bitching. At least there is no math thi ..."

Sandra Fluke: "I'm always giving out for Halloween. ..."

Anthony from NYC: ">>> If I'm feeling generous I'll hand out Horsey ..."

MTF: "Wow, that Veronica Lake story is sad as all get ou ..."

traye: "Holy shit, this just made steam come out of my ear ..."

Recent Entries
Search


MuNuvians
Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
News/Chat
Archives
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64