« James O'Keefe's Project Veritas Crew Is Offered More Ballots: Bill Maher's, and David Brock's | Main | Romney to Obama: Start Packing »
April 16, 2012

Third Time's a Charm: Romney Leads Obama in Gallup, 47-45

And this is registered voters. This does not screen for likely voters, or adjust for voter intensity.

Even incumbents who went on to lose -- Carter, Bush the Elder -- started out ahead of their challengers. Even if they did have weaker numbers supporting them.

The only other incumbent who began (and ended) by losing to his challenger? The hapless Gerald Ford.

On the Other Hand... Romney's the only challenger with an underwater favorable/unfavorable rating in a long, long time.

Thirty-five percent of Americans see Romney favorably, while 47 percent have an unfavorable opinion of the former Massachusetts governor. He's the first likely nominee to be underwater – seen more unfavorably than favorably – in ABC/Post polls in eight presidential primary seasons across the past 28 years.

That said, who cares.

I don't believe this is one of those elections where things like that come much into play. Some elections are had during relatively good times, where the public is choosing which man they'd rather have helm a sailing-smoothing ship.

This is not one of those times.

Plus, I don't expect those low favorability numbers to continue. No one will ever really love Romney, but most will end up with a "favorable" impression, if just a bit.

Few have truly strong opinions on Romney:

Romney's also got an enthusiasm gap: Just 12 percent see him "strongly" favorably, about half as many as see him strongly unfavorably. Intensity of sentiment on Obama is more even, tipping slightly to the positive – 30 percent strongly favorable, 26 percent strongly unfavorable.

That'll change a bit too. By November, 42% of the electorate -- the liberal vote -- will hate him.

digg this
posted by Ace at 04:53 PM

| Access Comments

Recent Comments
Sjg: "Posted by: Tom Servo at July 18, 2018 08:25 PM (V2 ..."

eleven: "[i]270 fe 262: walked 20 miles. that would take... ..."

Bandersnatch: "[i]The dude's joining the Marines, so it makes tot ..."

[/i] [/u] [/s] [/b]An Observation: "Preliminary text of my felony complaint against th ..."

TheQuietMan: "Tom Steyer wasted no time producing a bullshit Imp ..."

mallfly the Peach of Hoboken: "fe 262: walked 20 miles. that would take... five o ..."

Rodrigo Borgia, Pope Alexander VI: "> But think about it: if she wins, she'll feel ZER ..."

FenelonSpoke: "How did Alexandra mess up a question on Israel? I ..."

Margarita DeVille: "246 Tom Steyer wasted no time producing a bullshit ..."

Will Bynn Bot: "[i]261 also, as I said the other day, RUSSIA RUSS ..."

Calm Mentor: "Odd how children ripped from their mothers' arms h ..."

RobertM: "Starship Troopers. If you don't serve, you're not ..."

Recent Entries

Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64