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February 21, 2012
Left's Attempt At Their Own ClimateGate Based on Forged Document?Megan McArdle was, to my knowledge, the first to raise red flags over the authenticity of documents from the Heartland Institute, supposedly showing them acting all evil and stuff about the climate. Most of the documents are real and are fairly bland. But one memo is in dispute. This memo, by McArdle's reading, seems written not from the point of view of a climate change skeptic -- who would naturally see himself as the good guy -- but from the point of view of a climate change zealot impersonating a climate change skeptic -- and is thus written, oddly, as if the person doing the writing believes himself to be a bad guy. (My own take: I skipped this because I think the Likely Forged Document itself is pretty bland, too. If this is an attempt at a takedown, it seems pretty subtle to me. But subsequent events seem to show that Megan McArdle was likely right and my lack of interest was likely wrong.) 5. The worldview is different. In my experience, climate skeptics see themselves as a beleaguered minority fighting for truth and justice against the powerful, and nearly monolithic, forces of the establishment. They are David, to the climate scientists' Goliaths. This is basically what the authenticated documents sound like. Jimmah notes a very odd statement for Heartland Institute to make -- according to the Likely Forged Document, Heartland seeks to "disuade schools from teaching 'science.'" Does that sound like a climate skeptic? Climate skeptics make the exact opposite claim: Schools should start teaching science and stop teaching the Catechisms of George Soros. McArdle's theory is that the real information (bland stuff about donors) was in fact obtained by some lefty, but it wasn't juicy enough. So someone faked up a Memo, basically a digest of the information in the other documents (or through Google), but wrote about that information in the most negative way possible, in order to juice up a pretty weak leak.
Moreover, the fact is that this document does not merely confirm facts found in other sources. It substantially recasts those facts, in the case of the Koch donation. And in the selection of facts it presents, and the spin it puts on them, it alters the reporting. Another guy analyzed the metadata and found that the time-stamp on the forged document was changed from its original Pacific time to the Heatrland Institute's Central time. I used a pdfinfo script to analyse the memos. The info I got is that all the meta data dates changed on the day of the leak in the Pacific time zone (-8 GMT). This is likely where our thief resides. This is also where the “fake” was created on 2/13. The other docs, with the exception of the IRS form were in the central time zone (-6 GMT). The IRS form was -4 GMT. This has been corroborated by a commenter at Lucia’s. Based on this, and I’m not sure if I’ve covered every base, the strategy memo is a fake. Based on that, and other clues gathered from the Likely Forged Document, McArdle profiles the hoaxer: 1) They are on the west coast Now a lefty climate change zealot confesses -- is that the right word? No, it's not, because according to McArdle's theory this wouldn't be a confession, but a back-up story, a fake story -- that he obtained the memo from a Heartland Institute staffer through deception. At the beginning of 2012, I received an anonymous document in the mail describing what appeared to be details of the Heartland Institute’s climate program strategy. It contained information about their funders and the Institute’s apparent efforts to muddy public understanding about climate science and policy. I do not know the source of that original document but assumed it was sent to me because of my past exchanges with Heartland and because I was named in it. Time's eco blog scolds him for the lack of integrity in misrepresenting his identity in order to secure the documents. A "firing offense," Time calls it. Of course, that may not be the biggest offense. The major question now — beyond the legal ramifications for Gleick and the Heartland Institute — is whether the original document Gleick says he received, the strategy memo, is real or whether it’s a falsification as the Heartland Institute maintains. The problem for climate advocates, of course, is that suspicion will only grow that Gleick falsified the original document now that he has admitted using deception to get the additional memos. Heartland calls his confession egregious enough, but insists that there's more to this story-- like the forgery of a document. In his statement, Gleick claims he committed this crime because he believed The Heartland Institute was preventing a “rational debate” from taking place over global warming. This is unbelievable. Heartland has repeatedly asked for real debate on this important topic. Gleick himself was specifically invited to attend a Heartland event to debate global warming just days before he stole the documents. He turned down the invitation. In a bit of data that might just be the coup d'gras if/when the forgery is ultimately proven, Peter Gleick headed the "Task Force for Scientific Integrity" for the American Geophysical Union. Per Wikipedia, it appears that the left has been showering him with accolades and paeans for the last decade. 1999 Elected Academician of the International Water Academy, Oslo, Norway. Not that it has anything to do with anything else, but Peter Gleick heads the Pacific Institute, which is in fact on Pacific time, out in Oakland, CA. Thanks to spongeworthy for tipping to me this week, and Andy for digesting all of the recent information in the sidebar. He kept up with it, while I just filed it under "Probably Not Important." Oh: via @rdbrewer4, Charles Johnson is of course doubling down on the forgeries, baiting the Heartland Institute by publishing their demand he retract. That's a friendly link to Diary of Daedelus, not Johnson's little-read blog.
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