Geithner: You're Right, We Have No Plan To Avert Fiscal Melt-Down; All We Know Is That We Don't Like Your Plan | Main | House Passes Bad Payroll Deal
February 17, 2012

RNC Spokesman: Odds of a Brokered Convention About The Same As A Visit From Space Aliens;
Sarah Palin: Nanoo-Nanoo

Unlikely, says an RNC guy.

"The last time we had a brokered convention was in the 1940s, and were four contests in that have awarded delegates," Mr. Spicer told me on Wednesday. "We are four weeks and four states into a process. I get that its the buzz, but I literally spend as much time worrying if some space alien attack happens."

Unlikely, but not as unlikely as a space alien attack. It would require Newt Gingrich to catch some fire again, then lose a bit of it. It just basically requires three, not two, competitive candidates trading victories and losses.

However, the tendency has been there is One Front-Running Not-Romney, and then most of the Not-Romney votes flock to that candidate. One catches fire; the other gets no oxygen. That's why, for this to happen, we'd need the less-likely situation where Gingrich rises, then falls, then maybe rises and falls again (and Santorum falling and rising in opposite tandem).

Meanwhile, Sarah Palin is encouraging just such an outcome, and offering herself as a draft candidate in brokered convention:

Former Republican Vice Presidential candidate Sarah Palin, though, is supportive of the idea of a brokered convention in August. She recently told Fox News Channel's Eric Bolling, when he asked if she would still be interested in a White House run if a brokered convention were to happen in Tampa:

"Well for one, I think it could get to that. And if it had to be kind of closed up today, the whole nominating process...then we would be looking at a brokered convention. Nobody is quite there yet." Palin then added, "So I think that months from now if thats the case, then all bets are off as to who it will be willing to offer themselves up in the name of service to their country. I would do whatever I could to help."

John Ziegler thinks Palin should be suspended from FoxNews for these comments. Before anyone goes Ape Bomb on him (a new film to be written by Cackfinger, released by Asylum Productions), his logic does seem reasonable: FoxNews has decided that anyone campaigning for office should not be an on-air commentator, as that person is therefore strongly biased towards his own candidacy.

Since Palin is making, at least, baby steps in that direction, isn't she campaigning for the nomination, albeit in an "unconventional, nontraditional" manner? (Which was frequently the way her hypothetical campaign for the office was predicted to be.)

On the other hand, she's not really a candidate.

On the other other hand, she does seem to have the characteristic that requires suspension: A personal (or political) stake in the outcome which creates a conflict of interest in her commentary. She has an "interest" in legal terms; she is not a disinterested party.

Of course, that could be said of Mike Huckabee or any other potential candidate as well, I imagine.

Is it even likely that should the unlikely happen, Palin would come out with the nomination?

Are the delegates -- mostly GOP insiders -- really fertile ground for a bit of Palin prairie-fire?

I'm wondering about the GOP psychology in this eventuality. We'd be worn out, chewed up, demoralized and gas-lighted by an unending, brutal primary that yet failed to produce a winner. We'd probably be very worried about winning a race with only two and half months to put together an entire 50-state campaign apparatus.

In that situation, would the party, as a whole, be looking for additional drama and infighting?

Or would it try to beg some kind of nonpolarizing figure like Jindal to step in? Or a blank like Jeb Bush?


digg this
posted by Ace at 11:55 AM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
JAS: "Jewish is kind of like a Jew. ..."

#neverskankles: "420 ACU rates Wicker at 96%, fwiw. Posted by: Gru ..."

Buzzsaw90: "It's all about context, and as a Jew and someone w ..."

RioBravo: "[...the Democrats will be digging up every broad t ..."

josephistan: "386 377 364 Tonight is the first night of Hannuk ..."

BackwardsBoy [/i][/s][/b]: "[I]Who the hell listens to what Charles Barkley ha ..."

Buzzsaw90: "It's all about context, and as a Jew and someone w ..."

Grump928(C): "ACU rates Wicker at 96%, fwiw. ..."

Bob Menendez: "What's wrong with underage hookers? ..."

Redgrains : "Not that anyone read the Lamar Alexpander (Senator ..."

FenelonSpoke: "Will Charles Barkley, Robo Calls from Obama, visit ..."

#neverskankles: "409 406 401 Trump and Moore wins might push Chris ..."

Recent Entries
Search


MuNuvians
Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
News/Chat
Archives
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64