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Gallup State-by-State Numbers Predict Huge Obama Loss? »
February 01, 2012
Five Scenarios For the Primaries, Going Forward
Nate Silver lays out five possible scenarios, and notes evidence for them and evidence against them, including historic precedent.
Its good.
The bullet point scenarios are all stuff you could think of on your own -- Romney cruises, Newt rallies, Santorum surges, etc. -- but he provides some rigor in analysis.