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December 01, 2011

Unbelievable ARG Poll Has Florida At 19% Romney, 50% Gingrich
Update: Not Nearly As Unbelievable As I Thought -- Average of Last Three Polls Has Gingrich at 46%

Literally unbelievable, I think. ARG has a bad reputation in my mind for shoddy polling.

Suspicious to me is that Ron Paul, who you can generally count on to get 10% in most places, is only at 2%.

Bear in mind that "Doctor" Ron Paul's fans are so devoted that they buy cookbooks containing recipes from the Paul Family (and friends), like he's Suzanne Sommers or something.

Clarification: This is the third poll showing Gingrich with a comfortable lead in Florida.

I am not disputing he's the current front runner -- and by a pretty good margin. It's just this 50% business I'm specifically calling shenanigans on.

Another Clarification: Uh, I thought the other polls had Gingrich at 35% or so.

Nope. The other two have him at 41% and 47% in Florida.

So this 50% figure is not really unbelievable.

I just seem to have not updated my "general sense of things" fast enough to keep up with what seems to be a much stronger bandwagon/sudden embrace effect than we've seen before.


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posted by Ace at 12:06 PM

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