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December 11, 2011

CAC's Poll Dump (Updated Every Sunday Through Election Day 2012)

Consider this a go-to source for later when you want to "quote" a poll (or when you want to catch another moron making shit up).

If you catch wind of a poll (complete with crosstabs), feel free to shoot me an email to theoneandonlyfinn at gmail.com.

The initial edition will be short, but that won't last. If a state has more than 3 polls, older polls will be abbreviated to a URL link. After 6 polls per office per state, oldest will be dumped to keep this somewhat readable. You can thank me later.

I will update this post throughout the week, bumping every Sunday as a recap of data collected. Ace and the rest of the co-bloggers will have posts on particularly damning polls, this thread will be updated throughout the next year to keep all available data in one spot.

***NOTE- If you are sending me polls, I will NOT be listing polling published days and weeks before this thread started. So data from, say, a primary poll in September is not going to be listed.***


NATIONAL ELECTION POLLING (PRIMARY)

GALLUP
National Presidential Primary (R)
Newt Gingrich 37%
Mitt Romney 23%
Ron Paul 9%
Rick Perry 6%
Michele Bachmann 6%
Rick Santorum 2%
Jon Huntsman 1%

FOX NEWS
National Presidential Primary (R)
Newt Gingrich 36%
Mitt Romney 23%
Ron Paul 12%
Rick Perry 8%
Michele Bachmann 5%
Rick Santorum 4%
Jon Huntsman 2%
Gary Johnson 0%
Buddy Roemer 0%
Fred Karger 0%

YOUGOV
National Presidential Primary(R)

Newt Gingrich 31%
Mitt Romney 15%
Ron Paul 11%
Rick Perry 9%
Rick Santorum 7%
Michele Bachmann 6%
Jon Huntsman 6%
Gary Johnson 2%

National Presidential Primary-FDU- Gingrich by 13

National Primary Poll-RASMUSSEN Gingrich by 21

National Primary Poll POLLPOSITION Gingrich by 9


NATIONAL ELECTION POLLING (GENERAL)

FOX NEWS
National General Election President
Barack Obama 44%
Mitt Romney 42%
Barack Obama 46%
Newt Gingrich 40%

RASMUSSEN
National President
Newt Gingrich 40%
Barack Obama 45%
Barack Obama 46%
Rick Perry 34%
Barack Obama 41%
Jon Huntsman 34%

YOUGOV
National President(/a>
Barack Obama 46%
Mitt Romney 44%
Barack Obama 46%
Ron Paul 44%
Barack Obama 46%
Newt Gingrich 42%

National President- FDU- Obama by 4 over Romney, 6 over Gingrich

Swing State Poll (NH+PA+OH+MN+IA+WI+NC+VA+FL+CO+NV+NM)PURPLE STRATEGIES Romney TIED, Obama by 2 over Gingrich


STATE BY STATE POLLING DATA (GENERAL, PRIMARY, PRESIDENT AND SENATE)

Polls are organized by state, then listed in order from newest to oldest.
Presidential Poll Data first, Senate data second.


Alabama
NONE

Alaska
NONE

Arizona

Public Policy Polling
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL
Newt Gingrich 28%
Mitt Romney 23%
Herman Cain 17%
Ron Paul 8%
Jon Huntsman 5%
Rick Santorum 3%
Michele Bachmann 3%
Rick Perry 3%
Gary Johnson 0%

US SENATE PRIMARY(R) POLL
Jeff Flake 53%
Wil Cardon 7%
Bryan Hackbarth 5%
Clair Van Steenwyk 2%
Douglas McKee 1%

US SENATE GENERAL ELECTION POLL
Jeff Flake (R) 42%
Don Bivens (D) 32%

Wil Cardon (R) 35%
Don Bivens 27%

Jeff Flake 40%
Richard Carmona (D) 36%

Wil Cardon 35%
Richard Carmona 33%

US PRESIDENT GENERAL ELECTION POLL
Mitt Romney (R) 49%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 42%
Ron Paul (R) 44%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 43%

Newt Gingrich (R) 45%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 45%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 46%
Herman Cain (R) 42%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 47%
Rick Perry (R) 40%

Arkansas
NONE

California

FIELD POLL

PRIMARY (R)
Mitt Romney 26%
Newt Gingrich 23%
Herman Cain 9%
Ron Paul 5%
Rick Perry 3%
Michele Bachmann 3%
Rick Santorum 2%
Jon Huntsman 1%

US GENERAL ELECTION (Field)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 50%
Mitt Romney (R) 40%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 55%
Newt Gingrich (R) 35%


Colorado

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
PRESIDENT-PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 37%
Mitt Romney 18%
Michele Bachmann 9%
Ron Paul 6%
Rick Perry 4%
Rick Santorum 4%
Jon Huntsman 3%
Gary Johnson 1%

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
PRESIDENT-GENERAL
Barack Obama 50%
Newt Gingrich 42%
Barack Obama 48%
Ron Paul 39%
Barack Obama 52%
Rick Perry 37%
Barack Obama 47%
Mitt Romney 45%

Connecticut
NONE

Delaware is the result of overactive imaginations and hundreds of years of lies in the Encycolpedia Britannica. I am forced to leave a spot here, but I refuse to acknowledge this "state" and pray for the day it gets Pluto'd.
NONE

Florida

SURVEY USA
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 45%
Mitt Romney 23%
Michele Bachmann 6%
Rick Perry 5%
Ron Paul 4%
Jon Huntsman 3%
Rick Santorum 2%

NBC NEWS/MARIST
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 42%
Mitt Romney 27%
Ron Paul 8%
Rick Perry 4%
Michele Bachmann 3%
Jon Huntsman 2%
Rick Santorum 2%

TIME/CNN
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 48%
Mitt Romney 25%
Ron Paul 5%
Everyone else- low single digits

PRESIDENT-PRIMARY(R) QUINNIPIAC- Gingrich by 1

US PRESIDENT PRIMARY (R)-InsiderAdvantage Gingrich by 24

US PRESIDENT PRIMARY (R) PPP- Gingrich by 30

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
US SENATE PRIMARY(R)
Connie Mack IV 40%
George LeMieux 12%
Mike McCalister 4%
Adam Hasner 3%
Craig Miller 3%

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
US SENATE GENERAL
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 46%
Connie Mack IV (R) 35%
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 47%
George LeMeuix (R) 32%
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 48%
Adam Hasner (R) 33%
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 49%
Craig Miller (R) 30%
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 47%
Mike McCalister (R) 32%

RASMUSSEN REPORTS:
U. S. SENATE
Connie Mack (R) 43% Bill Nelson (D-inc) 39%
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 39% George LeMieux (R) 33%
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 40% Adam Hasner (R) 31%

QUINNIPIAC
GENERAL ELECTION PRESIDENT
Mitt Romney 45%
Barack Obama 42%

Barack Obama 46%
Newt Gingrich 44%

NBC NEWS/MARIST
GENERAL ELECTION PRESIDENT
Barack Obama 51%
Newt Gingrich 39%
Barack Obama 48%
Mitt Romney 41%

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
US PRESIDENT GENERAL ELECTION
Barack Obama (D-inc) 45%
Mitt Romney (R) 44%**

Barack Obama (D-inc) 46%
Ron Paul 40%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 50%
Newt Gingrich (R) 44%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 50%
Rick Perry (R) 38%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 51%
Herman Cain (R) 37%

**Note, 3rd time PPP has done this (previously with North Carolina and Pennsylvania), giving the undecideds to Romney and claiming that Obama would "probably lose".

RASMUSSEN REPORTS
PRESIDENT
Mitt Romney (R) 46% Barack Obama (D-inc) 42%
Newt Gingrich (R) 43% Barack Obama (D-inc) 45%
Herman Cain (R) 37% Barack Obama (D-inc) 46%

Georgia

INSIDER ADVANTAGE
REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY
Newt Gingrich 54%
Mitt Romney 12%
Ron Paul 6%
Michele Bachmann 4%
Rick Perry 3%
Rick Santorum 2%
Jon Huntsman 2%

SURVEY USA
REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY
Newt Gingrich 65%
Mitt Romney 12%
Michele Bachmann 5%
Ron Paul 5%
Rick Perry 4%
Rick Santorum 1%
Jon Huntsman 1%

SURVEY USA
PRESIDENT-GENERAL
Mitt Romney 49%
Barack Obama 42%
Newt Gingrich 48%
Barack Obama 42%


Hawaii
NONE

Idaho
NONE

Illinois
NONE

Indiana
NONE

Iowa

CBS/NYT
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY(CAUCUS)
Newt Gingrich 31%
Mitt Romney 17%
Ron Paul 16%
Rick Perry 11%
Michele Bachmann 9%
Rick Santorum 4%

WE ASK AMERICA
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY(CAUCUS)
Newt Gingrich 30%
Mitt Romney 16%
Ron Paul 14%
Michele Bachmann 13%
Rick Perry 7%
Rick Santorum 4%
Jon Huntsman 3%

TIME/CNN
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY (CAUCUS)
Newt Gingrich 33%
Mitt Romney 20%
Ron Paul 17%
Rick Perry 9%
Michele Bachmann 7%
Rick Santorum 5%
Jon Huntsman 1%

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY(CAUCUS)-ABC/WaPo Gingrich by 13

PPP REPUBLICAN PRIMARY PRESIDENT (CAUCUS) Gingrich by 9

PRIMARY (R) MARIST/NBC Gingrich by 8

MARIST/NBC
US PRESIDENT GENERAL ELECTION
Barack Obama (D-inc) 46%
Mitt Romney (R) 39%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 47%
Newt Gingrich (R) 37%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 42%
Ron Paul (R) 42%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 48%
Rick Perry (R) 37%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 54%
Michele Bachmann (R) 31%

Kansas
SURVEY USA
US PRESIDENT (General Election)
Barack Obama 39%
Mitt Romney 48%

Newt Gingrich 40%
Barack Obama 45%

Kentucky
NONE

Louisiana

Clarus Research Group
PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 31%
Mitt Romney 23%
Herman Cain 12%
Rick Perry 11%
Ron Paul 6%
Michele Bachmann 4%
Buddy Roemer 2%
Jon Huntsman 1%
Rick Santorum 0%

Maine
NONE

Maryland
NONE

Massachusetts

UMass
US SENATE-GENERAL
Elizabeth Warren (D) 49%
Scott Brown (R-inc) 42%

Michigan

MIRS/Practical Political Consulting
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY (R)
Mitt Romney 48%
Newt Gingrich 33%
Michele Bachmann 11%
Rick Perry 7%

STRATEGIC NATIONAL
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY (R)
Newt Gingrich 31%
Mitt Romney 29%
Ron Paul 7%
Michele Bachmann 6%
Jon Huntsman 4%
Rick Santorum 3%
Rick Perry 3%

EPIC-MRA
PRIMARY(R)
Mitt Romney 34%
Newt Gingrich 20%
Herman Cain 13%
Ron Paul 8%
Rick Perry 5%
Michelle Bachmann 3%
John Huntsman 2%
Rick Santorum 2%

EPIC-MRA
US SENATE
Debbie Stabenow (D-inc) 48%
Pete Hoekstra (R) 42%

EPIC-MRA
US PRESIDENT (GENERAL ELECTION)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 41%
Mitt Romney (R) 46%

Barack Obama (D) 45%
Newt Gingrich (R) 40%

Barack Obama (D) 50%
Herman Cain (R) 36%

Minnesota
NONE

Mississippi
NONE

Missouri
NONE

Montana

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING

GOVERNOR-PRIMARY (R)
Rick Hill 37%
Ken Miller 10%
Jeff Essmann 5%
Jim Lynch 4%
Jim O’Hara 3%
Neil Livingstone 3%
Corey Stapleton 2%
Bob Fanning 1%

PRESIDENT PRIMARY (R)
Newt Gingrich 37%
Ron Paul 12%
Mitt Romney 11%
Herman Cain 10%
Michele Bachmann 10%
Rick Perry 5%
Jon Huntsman 3%
Rick Santorum 1%
Gary Johnson 1%

US SENATE
Danny Rehberg (R) 47%
Jon Tester (D-inc) 45%

US PRESIDENT General Election
Mitt Romney (R) 50%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 40%

Newt Gingrich (R) 50%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 42%

Herman Cain (R) 45%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 43%

Ron Paul (R) 48%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 40%

Rick Perry (R) 46%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 43%

GOVERNOR-GENERAL
Steve Bullock (D) 42%
Jeff Essmann (R) 30%
Steve Bullock (D) 41%
Neil Livingstone (R) 29%
Steve Bullock (D) 40%
Ken Miller (R) 31%

Rick Hill (R) 39%
Steve Bullock (D) 38%
Jeff Essmann (R) 30%

Nebraska

MAGELLAN
US SENATE
Jon Bruning (R) 45%
Ben Nelson (D-inc) 39%

Don Stenberg (R) 41%
Ben Nelson (D-inc) 40%

Dave Heineman (R) 51%
Ben Nelson (D-inc) 33%

Ben Nelson (D-inc) 41%
Deb Fischer (R) 35%

Nevada
NONE

New Hampshire

TIME/CNN
PRESIDENT PRIMARY(R)
Mitt Romney 35%
Newt Gingrich 26%
Ron Paul 17%
Jon Huntsman 8%
Every One Else – Low Single Digits

NBC/MARIST
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
Mitt Romney 39%
Newt Gingrich 23%
Ron Paul 16%
Jon Huntsman 9%
Rick Perry 3%
Michele Bachmann 3%
Herman Cain 2%
Rick Santorum 1%

RASMUSSEN
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL
Mitt Romney 34%
Newt Gingrich 24%
Herman Cain 14%
Ron Paul 11%


REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL- UNH- Romney by 27

The Polling Company REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL Romney by 17

Suffolk U REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL Romney by 27

ARG REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL (Romney by 11)

NBC/MARIST
GENERAL ELECTION POLL
Mitt Romney (R) 49%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 40%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 49%
Newt Gingrich (R) 39%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 44%
Ron Paul (R) 40%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 51%
Rick Perry (R) 36%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 53%
Michele Bachmann (R) 33%

UNH
GENERAL ELECTION POLL
Barack Obama 44%
Mitt Romney 47%

New Jersey
NONE

New Mexico
NONE

New York
NONE

North Carolina

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
GOVERNOR-GENERAL
Pat McCrory (R) 50%
Bev Perdue(D-inc) 40%
Pat McCrory (R) 47%
Bill Faison (D) 26%

GOVERNOR- DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
Bev Perdue 55%
Bill Faison 23%

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
PRESIDENT-PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 51%
Mitt Romney 14%
Michele Bachmann 8%
Ron Paul 7%
Rick Perry 4%
Rick Santorum 3%
Jon Huntsman 1%
Gary Johnson 0%

PRESIDENT-GENERAL
Mitt Romney 46%
Barack Obama 46%

Barack Obama 49%
Newt Gingrich 45%
Barack Obama 47%
Ron Paul 42%
Barack Obama 50%
Rick Perry 42%


North Dakota
NONE

Ohio

QUINNIPIAC
PRESIDENT-PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 36%
Mitt Romney 18%
Ron Paul 7%
Herman Cain 7%
Michele Bachmann 5%
Rick Perry 4%
Rick Santorum 2%
Jon Huntsman 1%

QUINNIPIAC
PRESIDENT-GENERAL
Mitt Romney 43%
Barack Obama 42%
Newt Gingrich 43%
Barack Obama 42%

Oklahoma
NONE

Oregon

SURVEY USA
GENERAL ELECTION POLL
Barack Obama 48%
Mitt Romney 40%

Barack Obama 51%
Newt Gingrich 37%

Pennsylvania

QUINNIPIAC
PRESIDENT-PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 31%
Mitt Romney 17%
Rick Santorum 9%
Ron Paul 7%
Herman Cain 3%
Michele Bachmann 3%
Rick Perry 3%
Jon Huntsman 3%

Public Policy Polling (D)
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL
Newt Gingrich 32%
Herman Cain 15%
Mitt Romney 12%
Rick Santorum 12%
Ron Paul 9%
Michele Bachmann 5%
Jon Huntsman 3%
Rick Perry 3%
Gary Johnson 0%

US SENATE PRIMARY POLL (R)
Sam Rohrer 25%
Tim Burns 15%
Tom Smith 3%
Laureen Cummings 2%
John Vernon 1%
Steve Welch 1%
Marc Scaringi 0%

QUINNIPIAC
PRESIDENT-GENERAL
Barack Obama 46%
Mitt Romney 43%
Barack Obama 48%
Newt Gingrich 40%

MUHLENBERG COLLEGE/MORNING CALL
PRESIDENT-GENERAL
Barack Obama 45%
Mitt Romney 41%
Barack Obama 52%
Newt Gingrich 35%
Barack Obama 48%
Rick Perry 30%

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
US PRESIDENT GENERAL ELECTION POLL
Mitt Romney 45%*
Barack Obama 45%*

Barack Obama 47%
Rick Santorum 42%

Barack Obama 53%
Herman Cain 35%

Barack Obama 49%
Newt Gingrich 43%

Barack Obama 46%
Ron Paul 42%

Barack Obama 51%
Rick Perry 38%

*PPP made the rare "tiebreaker" comment that amongst undecideds, Obama is at 24% favorability, giving the tie to the Republican.


MUHLENBERG COLLEGE/MORNING CALL
US SENATE (GENERAL)
BOB CASEY 49%
R candidate 27%

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
PPP-US SENATE GENERAL ELECTION POLL
Bob Casey (D-inc) 49%
Tim Burns (R) 34%
Bob Casey (D-inc) 47%
Sam Rohrer (R) 36%
Bob Casey (D-inc) 48%
Tom Smith (R) 32%
Bob Casey (D-inc) 47%
Steve Welch (R) 33%
Bob Casey (D-inc) 49%
Rick Santorum (R) 39%

Rhode Island
NONE

South Carolina

NBC NEWS/MARIST
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 41%
Mitt Romney 21%
Ron Paul 8%
Michele Bachmann 6%
Rick Perry 6%
Jon Huntsman 3%
Rick Santorum 2%

WINTRHOP U
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 38%
Mitt Romney 22%
Rick Perry 9%
Herman Cain 7%
Michele Bachmann 5%
Ron Paul 4%
Rick Santorum 3%
Jon Huntsman 1%
Gary Johnson 0%

TIME/CNN
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 43%
Mitt Romney 20%
Rick Perry 8%
Michele Bachmann 6%
Ron Paul 6%
Rick Santorum 4%
Jon Huntsman 1%

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL -ARG- Gingrich by 11

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL-TPC Gingrich by 14

NBC NEWS/MARIST (same link)
GENERAL ELECTION PRESIDENT
Barack Obama (D) 46%
Newt Gingrich (R) 42%
Barack Obama (D) 45%
Mitt Romney (R) 42%

South Dakota
NONE

Tennessee
NONE

Texas
NONE

Utah
NONE

Vermont
NONE

Virginia
NONE

Washington

SURVEY USA

US SENATE
Maria Cantwell (D-inc) 51%
Michael Baumgartner (R) 39%
Maria Cantwell (D-inc) 48%
Dave Reichert (R) 41%
Maria Cantwell (D-inc) 49%
Susan Hutchison (R) 38%

GOVERNOR
Rob McKenna (R) 44%
Jay Inslee (D) 38%

US PRESIDENT
Barack Obama (D-inc) 49%
Mitt Romney (R) 41%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 56%
Newt Gingrich (R) 37%

West Virginia
NONE

Wisconsin
NONE

Wyoming
NONE

***GORE00 STATE WATCH***
Added 12/4/2011 edition, condensed tracking of Republican performance in the states that went to Al Gore in the 2000 election, the last time a Republican flipped the White House (see why that is important here).

Michigan (see EPIC poll)- Romney leads by 5, Gingrich trails by only 5.

Pennsylvania (see PPP, Quinn, Muhl)- Romney trails Obama avg 2, Santorum trails by 5, Paul by 4.

Iowa (see Marist poll)- Paul ties Obama.

digg this
posted by CAC at 01:00 PM

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