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July 19, 2011

Et Tu, Fruitae? Kos Poll Puts Generic Republican Four Five Points Over Obama, 49-44

Here's the link, but I'm not lying.

CAC adds:

The Kos kiddies can enjoy "well he's not up against Generic R" ntil they start to figure out Romney is quietly approaching the Generic's numbers in many states, Perry as well, and even Bachmann is starting to close her gap in performance against Obama.

The only thing skewing the results on the RCP average is that laughable AP poll back in MAY of O+11 and the JUNE NBC poll of O+5.

The 30 day polling average in a national poll Generic R v Obama:

Ras R+5
Gallup R+8

Avg of 3- R by 5.66% shift of over 12 points from 2008 result.

A shift of that maginitude not only guarantees the hypothetical Republican beats Obama, it costs Obama the entire Midwest save for Illinois, the entire southwest, and puts the Pacific Northwest and the light-blue North East into tossup territory.

Imagine if CBS actually used correctly weighted polling...

That RCP average is here.

The graph there is heartening. Even with those suspect, dated polls included, Obama only manages a 0.8% lead.

Update: CAC says Rasmussen is about to release its latest head-to-head (vs. a Generic), and the Generic has increased the lead from +5 to +6.

Okay, so that's not a real increase. But it's confirmatory.

digg this
posted by Ace at 04:59 PM

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