« Jake Tapper: Gee, Maybe The Media Does Sort of Pounce on Republican Gaffes While Ignoring Obama's Gaffes | Main | Smallville Finale Emotions Guy Watches Netanyahu, Obama Press Conference »
July 05, 2011

Goldberg: Unless Obama's About To Put Up Some Reagan-Like GDP Numbers, Reagan-Like Campaign Themes Won't Help Him

One thing I've noticed about the left and the chattering class (but I repeat myself) is a childish elevation of the power of words.

Words are powerful. What is more powerful is facts. A poet can paint a picture of a stone in flight with words but you know it is cold and hard if it strikes you in the head.

Obama's searching for a way to win 2012. They tend to look to prior successful campaigns for themes that seemed to work. They're looking at Reagan 1984 as their model. But they're probably going to be facing Reagan 1980 as their opponent's model, and their opponent will have the much better case to make.

5.1, 9.3, 8.1, 8.5, 8, 7.1 and 3.9....

They are the quarterly percentage gains in gross domestic product starting in 1983 through to Election Day 1984. And they aren't the only significant numbers. In 1984, real income for individuals grew by more than 6% and inflation plummeted. The unemployment rate in November 1984 was still 7.2% — relatively high — but it had dropped from 10.8% in December 1982, and it was clear the momentum was for even lower unemployment. "Staying the course" with Ronald Reagan made sense to most people, which is why he won re-election in a 49-state landslide.

Sadly for Obama — but far worse for the country — that kind of growth seems like a pipe dream. Last month, the Federal Reserve lowered its forecast for 2011 GDP growth from a range of 3.1% to 3.3%, made just two months earlier, to a much slower 2.7% to 2.9%. And it revised downward its projections for 2012 and 2013 as well.

They tried to use Reagan 1984 as a model of avoiding the Big Red Wave in the 2010 elections:

Reportedly, Obama's speechwriters even studied Reagan's speeches for tips on how to frame the choice. They concluded, since Reagan blamed Jimmy Carter for the country's problems, Obama should do likewise with Bush. Reagan said Americans faced a choice between "going back" to the old policies and pressing ahead with new ones. Obama parroted the same line: "This is a choice between the policies that led us into the mess, or the policies that are leading out of the mess," Obama said in a campaign appearance for Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid. "America doesn't go backwards, we go forwards."

You can't use the slogan "It's morning in America" when it's actually a quarter past midnight.



digg this
posted by Ace at 07:37 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
teej: "Heh. Chemistry. What I'm doing now, Pb stands f ..."

NaCly Dog[/i][/b][/s]: "Looking forward to it, teej. May all your gro ..."

teej: "Sweet. And fair warning, they aren't going to sou ..."

Eromero: "And it's butter coffee! That makes it a good morni ..."

NaCly Dog[/i][/b][/s]: "Na / K alloy. Sheesh. I should have taken typi ..."

Skip: "Finally some coffee ..."

NaCly Dog[/i][/b][/s]: "The Political Hat What a crazy video. I'd nev ..."

Jean: "Bonsai as the key to Japanese culture - careful cu ..."

ThePrimordialOrderedPair: "[i]This asphalt sealing/paving thing is a classic. ..."

NaCly Dog[/i][/b][/s]: "Teej Will do. ..."

Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars (TM) [/b][/i][/s][/u]: " Geez, Jim, your very own "I am Ted Kaczynski's b ..."

NaCly Dog[/i][/b][/s]: "GGE of the Moron Horde, NC Chapter Life is good ..."

Recent Entries
Search


MuNuvians
Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
News/Chat
Archives
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64