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April 12, 2011

CNN Poll: Trump Now Tied With Huckabee For Lead in GOP Primary

Good Lord.

I have a feeling there's a lot of Giuliani Effect going on here.

Before Giuliani made it clear in a debate that he was pro-choice, Giuliani led all the GOP polls and not even by just a little. He always was pro-choice; this fact just wasn't widely known.

Name recognition + lack of widespread appreciation for a candidate's positions and history = ephemeral front runner status.

Trump has some advantages. But he also seems to have a stack of drawbacks, like frequent business bankruptcies, two divorces, donating to Harry Reid as far back as last frickin' year, previous strong embrace of liberal social positions before he suddenly realized he was strongly conservative, a general tendency to bluster and shoot from the lip, etc.


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posted by Ace at 02:08 PM

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