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April 07, 2011
Horrifying: 7.4 Quake Hits Japan; Tsunami Expected
Update: I thought the quake had been downgraded to a 7.1. Not so, says Mogerel -- there was both a 7.4 and a 7.1.
Although I noted that commenters had seen forecasts of 50 cm waves,the article cited at Hot Air says they could be up to two meters/six feet.
...
At Hot Air. What a terrible blow that would be.
Looking for positive spin... Several of the quakes I've followed were initially rated as more powerful than later measurements showed them to be. I think I remember the initial read on the San Diego/Mexicali quake of April 2010 was initially measured at 8+, but turned out to be 7.2. So maybe this isn't as bad as it sounds.
Update: Commenters say the "tsunami" is predicted to be a 2 foot surge-- compare that to the 30 foot that destroyed Northern Japan.
So this is looking inconvenient and distressing, but not heartbreaking and fatal.
It does look like the quake is being downgraded in power, as I'd hoped.