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January 30, 2011

Southern Sudan vote: 99% for independence

That was easy, right? Decades of violence over just like that. Well, maybe not so much...

...The vote was promised in a 2005 peace deal which ended decades of north-south conflict, Africa’s longest civil war, which cost an estimated 2 million lives...

...Northern and southern leaders still have to agree on their shared border, how they will split oil revenues after secession and the ownership of the disputed Abyei region...

Political eyewash aside, that civil war was was, at its deepest core, waged over oil to begin with going all the way back to when the Islamic Khartoum govt cut a deal with the French oil giant Total, which was repudiated by people in the south who, not unreasonably, thought the oil under their land should be theirs.

This whole "deal" and vote doesn't mean squat unless the Islamic Arabs in the north truly want peace and are willing to make genuine concessions to the heavily Christian south.

What do you suppose the real chance of that happening is - particularly with the Muslim Brotherhood feeling its oats in Egypt, which is right next door?

Slim? None? Vanishingly close to zero? Better than my chances of spotting Elvis in a 7-11 tonight?


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posted by Purp at 09:35 AM

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