Manchin Holds WV Senate For Democrats, Senate Take Over Unreachable | Main | Rick "I'M RICK PERRY, BITCH", Wins TX GOV
General Election Thread
November 02, 2010

IN, KY: Barron Hill Defeated In IN-9;
"Bloody Eighth," IN-8, Goes R as Well

Hill Down. The Big Wave is on; the partial Super Wave may yet be on as well.

More: Andy Barr Catching Up To Incumbent In Bellwether KY-6. Tight as a tick, about 1% lead for the Democrat.

I'm unhappy with this -- I expected that Andy Barr would win by 5%. But then, I was hoping for the 90+ wave.

Update: Now the gap is only 0.2% with 85% in. Go Andy Go!

Meanwhile, in IN, Jackie Walorski is close to catching Joe Donnelly.


Baron Hill well behind with 25% of the vote in. This is "bonus damage" territory, a win that would prefigure something like 55+ pickups.

Coats projected to win over Ellsworth, as expected. The interesting thing here, I guess, is that it was called so early -- a rout, then, I imagine.


Yarmuth ahead of Lally by 10,000 in KY-3. As mentioned below, an R win in this very-blue district would have been a sign of the super-wave. Alas, this particular sign seems to not be coming.


Closing now. NOT Closing Now! Only parts of these states closed at 6. You still have ten minutes to vote in some parts.

Sorry! Bad error.


KY unofficial results.

Indiana results.

Drew says keep your eye on KY-3. If the R's take that, the rout may be on.

Here's Nate Silver's cheat sheet.

What does a rout mean? Well if KY-3 (Yarmth (D) v. Lally (R)) falls, for example, we're looking at the Super-Wave. If Yarmuth falls, we're looking at... 102 seats or so.

That is obviously a big "if." But right now I think we should probably be looking at the third column for hints.

Watch Baron Hill in IN-9. Two reasons: One, Baron Hill got into shit with Town Hall protesters over the summer of 09.

Two: a Baron Hill defeat signals a Big Wave. (But not the Super Wave-- for the Super Wave, we need a harder opponent to fall.)

If Baron Hill wins, we'll actually know we're heading for either just a small Wave or a big wave but probably not a Super Wave.

(Thanks to Drew for that.)

This is the main thread for IN and KY races. Constantly updated and bumped as appropriate. Send tips about these races to aceofspadeshq, which is on the google mail server.

Recent Comments
RedMindBlueState[/i][/s][/b][/u]: "[i]Guess y'all don't care about the starving otter ..."

Muad'dib: ">It's at this moment that I would like to point ..."

Colorado Alex in Exile: "[i]How much does it take to raise AtC? Posted by: ..."

Mr. Peebles: "[i]Scumbag Georgia SecState criminals are mad at u ..."

Love: "french fries are probably the best food on the pla ..."

Cato, Collectivism Delenda Est, Post-Apocalyptic Scourge of the Seas: "AoSHQ is the best site on the web but the trolls a ..."

Jewells45TRUMPWON!: "[i]I do remember seeing a video in 2003 of him dru ..."

Now that is passed, you can read it: "The US government took over the student loan busin ..."

DFCtomm: "Our culture has become predatory, preying upon the ..."

Brother Tim (@BrotherTimMTG on Parler): "[i]So many people are getting flame thrown so much ..."

Booster chair: "[i]How much does it take to raise AtC? Posted by: ..."

SFGoth: "Pumpernickel, havarti, and lox.  FTW ..."

Recent Entries

Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64