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Mock the MSM Coverage Thread [ArthurK] »
November 02, 2010
Turnout: Looking Low In Democratic Areas
Connected Tipster in FL: "The word you're looking for is 'bloodbath'"
Low in Maine cities. Democratic strongholds, I assume.
In Connecticut, low in Democratic areas, high in Republican areas. Do you smell what Linda McMahon is cookin'? The People's Upset?
In Wisconsin, Democratic turnout isn't what they need it to be.
Via a tipster, in Florida, turnout is over +15 advantage for Republicans. That's not as high as I'd like Republican turnout (come, guys, Jeeze). But it's a big advantage.
Also, R's have reversed the D advantage in early voting from 2008, and now lead in that category by nearly as big a margin as D's led in 2008.
Update: Based on my tipster: You can expect all the people you thought would win in Florida to win... I guess the next question is, "Can we expect the longshots like Karen Harrington to win too?"
In Colorado, 74,000 more Republicans have already voted than Democrats.
It's low overall in Virginia, which I take to be a good sign, as my operating assumption is that conservative voting is higher than normal and Democrat voting is much lower than normal. That's an assumption, but I'd say it's a strong one.
That means that Patrick Murray has a real shot to knocking off Jim Moran.
It's too early for Victory Ewok but here's Big Kahuna Ewok.