Turnout Survey
Plus: Cuyahoga County Not Turning Out In OH?

Patrick Ishmael is trying to use the blogosphere to construct a good guess as to national turnout trends.

Answer honestly, not "Freep this poll"-ishly. This is so we know before the media does, so lying about it-- doing the Ron Paul! thing, freeping it, etc. -- is directly contrary to this purpose.

Average Turnout in Cuyahoga County (Cleveland)? Cuyahoga is on track to post just-above-average turnout. This is a Dem bastion that provided the lion's share of Obama's 2008 margin in the state of Ohio.

Two things:

1) The somewhat elevated turnout is due entirely, in all probability, to increased conservative turnout here. That is, assuming the enthusiasm gap is real (and it is), the slightly increased turnout here isn't due to D's coming out in greater numbers, but R's.

2) The D's needed big turnout here to offset big turnout in all the red areas of the state (which is most of them). They're not getting it.

posted by Ace at 03:18 PM

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