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October 26, 2010

CAC's 2010 House Projections 10/26/2010

Some movement away from us, some movement towards us, but a current projected gain of...


74 net seats.
Current congress is 256-179 D-R (there are 2 vacancies but I am allocating them with the last party that held them).

Projected House is a near inverse- 253R 148D 34 Tossups.

U S House seat 2010 projection allocation

Regional maps updated to reflect movement as well.
As a brief recap, LA-2, HI-1 and IL-10, 3 of the 4 vulnerable Republican-held seats, have all moved favorably in my projection. HI-1 and IL-10 move to GOP HOLD, Cao's moves to a tossup. Only the At-Large district in Delaware, currently held by Mike Castle, is projected as a Republican loss.

GA-2 and CA-20 are some of the new GOP pickups.
TX-30 and WA-6 are a few surprisingly vulnerable Democratic seats breaking off the SAFE list. Both remain longshots though the PVI of WA-6 mirrors the more vulnerable WA-9 and Broden in the Dallas district has shown some surprising strength. Don't put these on the top of your flip list but if these fall we are looking at triple-digit gains.

REGIONAL MAPS:

NJandNE10252010
NewYorkCongressionalMap10252010
PACongressionalMap10252010
Ohio Races10252010
DelMarWVaCaroligorgia10252010
Florida10252010
DeepSouth10252010
Great Lakes10252010
MidWestandRockies10252010
PacNorthwest10252010
FourCornersTexahoma10252010
California and Nevada10252010

Remember, be the wave.

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posted by CAC at 07:46 PM

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