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August 25, 2010

Larry Sabato's Sources: There Is No Realistic Chance Lisa Murkowski Can Win

A part of me craves the comfort of pudding, but I can't say which part that is in mixed company.

just talked to some solid Alaska sources. They do not think there is any realistic chance Lisa Murkowski can make up the votes she needs.

She would need 60% of the absentees to win. Now, that's kinda-sorta possible, given that maybe many of these were sent before Miller got a lot of publicity... But DrewM. rebuts this nicely: If you thought the contest was uncontested, and you were just going to vote for the R-brand candidate no matter who it was, why would you go through the trouble of voting absentee in the first place?

That's like doing extra paperwork to guarantee that I won't post before 12. Why not just let nature take its beautiful restful course?

Slate: continues being mocked, as it should be. I always used to refer to this as "amateur online web-zine Slate."

Iowahawk writes:

Slate 8/23: Miller Doomed By Palin Endorsement. Slate 8/25: Miller Won Because Palin Didn't Campaign For Him.

Wishcasting, not forecasting.


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posted by Ace at 01:50 PM

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