Labour MP: What Would I Do If I Had a Time-Machine And Went Back To The Eighties? Oh, I Know: I'd Have Assassinated Margaret Thatcher | Main | Will Folks, With One Hour Left To Release His Proof Before the 11 O'Clock News On Primary Eve: " ... "
June 07, 2010

Poll: Rossi Edges Patty "Dum-Dum" Murray Among Registered Voters

Just barely -- 42-39% -- but 39% is not where an incumbent wants to be.

Before you say, "Well, if he's up among registered voters, he must really be up with likely voters!" -- that's actually not the case here. The typical pattern is reversed:

Murray still retains her overall edge among likely voters, those who voted in the 2006 mid-term election. Forty six percent of them said they would vote for the three-term Democratic incumbent, compared to 40 percent for Rossi. And the combined results of all 1,695 registered voters polled during four weeks in May showed Murray edging out Rossi 42 percent to 40 percent.

I think -- but don't know -- that what's gone on here is this: There was polling over four weeks' time, with around 450 people interviewed each poll. The last group interviewed, the most recent, went for Dino Rossi, due to recent publicity/changing opinions. Overall, they still went a bit for Murray.

As for likelies -- I think the likely voters are taken from the entire four weeks of polling, the good-for-Rossi last poll and the bad-for-Rossi earlier polls.

Assuming this isn't just a glitch, but represents a real trend, then it should be the case, as expected, that the next poll of likely voters puts Rossi ahead.

Thanks to Jenjhis.


digg this
posted by Ace at 09:37 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
Your Decidedly Devious Uncle Palpatine, Booking Agent, Aero Pinochet: "416. Huh? WHAT? ..."

Miklos Molnar, enemy of peoples: " I saw Khrushchev's Krushers close for Lavrentii & ..."

kallisto: "Whatever happened to SMFH? not seeing her makes me ..."

Your Decidedly Devious Uncle Palpatine, Booking Agent, Aero Pinochet: "411. (BTW - Zhukov's solo in the closing set was e ..."

F.N.G.: "Posted by: garrett at December 17, 2017 09:26 PM ( ..."

Yogi Beria: "When you come to a fork in a restaurant, take it. ..."

Your Decidedly Devious Uncle Palpatine, Booking Agent, Aero Pinochet: "405. I saw Khrushchev's Krushers close for Lavrent ..."

Ignoramus: ""Then I want PDJT to wear brass knuckles to his SO ..."

Hadrian the Seventh: " Gushka, how are you doing? ..."

Hadrian the Seventh: " [i]Omg i have managed to gwt in the middle of tw ..."

Christopher R Taylor: "I believe McCain is too ill to vote. But I believ ..."

garrett: ">>Throwers = launchers? Yeah. We used to ma ..."

Recent Entries
Search


MuNuvians
Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
News/Chat
Archives
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64