Intermarkets' Privacy Policy Support
Donate to Ace of Spades HQ! Contact
Ace:aceofspadeshq at gee mail.com Buck: buck.throckmorton at protonmail.com CBD: cbd at cutjibnewsletter.com joe mannix: mannix2024 at proton.me MisHum: petmorons at gee mail.com J.J. Sefton: sefton at cutjibnewsletter.com Recent Entries
Baby Animals Cafe
Socialist President of Colombia Gets Roar of Approval from Anti-American, Pro-Crime Media For Refusing to Take Back His Criminals And Then He Folds Braindead Husk Joe Biden -- Or Really, the Staffers Illegally Running the Government -- Pardoned a Drug Kingpin Who Murdered a Mother and Her 8-Year-Old Child to Keep Her From Testifying Against Him as a "Nonviolent" Drug Violator Trump Fires "More Than a Dozen" DOJ Officials Involved In Investigating Him; New DC US Attorney Opens Investigation Into DOJ's Overcharging of J6ers Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth (Eat It, Bitch McConnell) Reverses Insubordinate Malicious Compliance from Woke Air Force Official Oh, No! Trump Prepping Exec Order to Ban Transgenders from Military CIA Director Ratcliffe Releases Suppressed CIA Report: Yes, Covid Was Created in the Wuhan Lab "I Don't Really Care, Margaret" THE MORNING RANT: Additional Executive Orders to Put Before President Trump Mid-Morning Art Thread Absent Friends
Bandersnatch 2024
GnuBreed 2024 Captain Hate 2023 moon_over_vermont 2023 westminsterdogshow 2023 Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022 Dave In Texas 2022 Jesse in D.C. 2022 OregonMuse 2022 redc1c4 2021 Tami 2021 Chavez the Hugo 2020 Ibguy 2020 Rickl 2019 Joffen 2014 AoSHQ Writers Group
A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published.
Contact OrangeEnt for info:
maildrop62 at proton dot me Cutting The Cord And Email Security
Moron Meet-Ups
|
« Obama to Mexican President: "We Are Not Defined By Our Borders..." |
Main
| Increasing jobs and consumer spending to spark round of inflation »
May 19, 2010
Three More Takes on Yesterday's VoteJim Geraghty's point here is good -- even as I was making the "Critz-ran-as-a-conservative" spin-argument, I realized its infirmity. Because the problem is that is how most Democrats in these sorts of districts always run. The question was not whether a Democrat from this sort of district would pose, yet again, as a conservative, while actually planning to vote for just about everything Nancy Pelosi wants -- that was guaranteed beforehand -- but whether or not this age-old trick would still work. Alas, yes, it still does work. Some conservatives bitterly chuckled that Democrats were celebrating the victory of a pro-life, pro-gun Democrat who opposed health care and cap-and-trade. (Public Policy Polling found only 30 percent of the district’s voters support Obamacare, and 58 percent oppose.) This comes on the heels of an anti-Obamacare, anti-Pelosi, pro-life Democrat, Mike Oliverio, knocking off incumbent Alan Mollohan in West Virginia. They contend that few Democrats will be able to run on as conservative a platform as Critz and Oliverio did. A more persuasive argument? Or assumed a more agreeably-hypocritical posture? Yes, people tend to do that all too frequently, buy into transparent nonsense, which often makes me wonder if people simply enjoy being lied to. That is: It's very possible people prefer hypocrites because fundamentally they are hypocrites themselves; they want politicians like themselves, people who mouth platitudes about responsibility and accountability and our children's future while voting to bankrupt those children. Geraghty's next point is good, too: For political junkies, a campaign on national themes is the natural and obvious choice. But no one ever asked the voters of either this Pennsylvania or that New York district whether they wanted their local House race to be a proxy war between two national parties. Up in New York’s 23rd Congressional District, there were plenty of voters who care about widening the St. Lawrence Seaway, redevelopment around Plattsburgh Air Force Base, highway plans between Watertown and Plattsburgh; topics that don’t get asked about on appearances on the Sean Hannity show or CNN. Hoffman’s botching of an interview with the Watertown Daily Times editorial board was much more harmful than it seemed at the time; no conservative should emulate Dick Armey in his dismissal of “regional concerns as ‘parochial’ issues that would not determine the outcome of the election.” Hmmm... not sure how to handle that, then: I guess maybe conservative candidates have to run almost entirely as local politicians, and not try to nationalize the race too much by their own words or own ads, and maybe just trust that, even while not mentioning Pelosi, the general mood of the electorate will show itself. Maybe it's a don't-force-it-let-it-simply-come sort of deal. There's a problem with that, though: "Local issues" is often synonymous with "directing federal money into the district" or "pressing for special federal favors," and that is far more congruent with the Democratic agenda with the Republican one. Conservatives 4 Palin thinks we couldn't have won this heavily-Democratic race except in a low-turnout election, where our party's enthusiasm could edge down the gap in actual turnout; but Ed Rendell craftily scheduled this vote to occur on the day of the Pennsylvania Senate Primary, denying us that low turnout: I had been worrying about this since Rendell made that announcement and as I watched the election returns online last night, my concerns were confirmed. It became clear very early that there was no way Tim Burns could win a special election run concurrently with a primary election for the same race. This was evident to me despite the point made by Rick Santorum and others early in the evening that the initial numbers were coming from Democrat strongholds and Burns could come back to win when the more conservative precincts were counted. This wishful thinking was unrealistic. There was never going to be sufficient Republican votes to overcome the 2-1 Democrat to Republican advantage in the district given that voters had to declare their party affiliation to vote in the primary on the same night. We had a relatively uncontested primary (Toomey won in a walk, as expected) and they had a hotly-contested one; that assured PA-12 Democrats would be out in force. This may be true as well, but in many of the districts we hope to pick off in November, we can't count on a low-turnout election, either: Midterms aren't as big as presidential elections, but they're hardly small-potatoes elections, either. Nate Silver covers all of the votes yesterday, including PA-12, of course: The results: Mark Critz (D) defeats Tim Burns (R), 53-45. I think that this race was in fact "meaningful," as Silver says, not particularly that Critz won in a heavily Democratic that has been electing a Democrat for 36 years straight, but that he did so without much of a scare. That does seem to suggest that our previous optimism was ill-founded: Yes, we may still win the House, but it will be, as it was once thought, a hard thing to do, and that talk of a full-on Democratic wipe-out was silly. Butterball Pudgebunny Chris Matthews said it would have been "catastrophic" if Critz had lost, considering the built-in Democratic advantage there. And I guess we could extrapolate from PA-12 (assuming it wasn't an aberration) that November won't be catastrophic for Democrats. But "not catastrophic" is not the same as "good" or even "fair." The Democrats, I think, will still do very poorly in November. I'm moving away from my giddy catastrophe stuff, but we don't actually need a Democratic catastrophe to win -- just winning what it looks like we could and should win should do the trick. It will still feel like a catastrophe to the Democrats, of course.
| Recent Comments
Anonosaurus Rex, Now Is the Winter of Our Discontent Made Glorious Summer By This Son of [New] York:
"The first income tax was under Lincoln.
Posted by ..."
Braenyard - some Absent Friends are more equal than others _ : "@MarioNawfal 29m ICE REPORTS 1,179 ARRESTS IN ..." WitchDoktor: "Trump has been talking about getting rid of the in ..." Gref: "33 "most of the flowers imported for V-Day" is not ..." Ian S.: "[I]It was hilarious how quickly Columbia made nice ..." Rodrigo Borgia: "> BTW, what in hell is a Sisson? Posted by: tcn i ..." Beverly: "Country club Republicans may have had refined tast ..." jim (in Kalifornia): "32 The ACLU demanded this pardon, _______________ ..." Hadrian the Seventh: " You left out the whole Christine Jorgenson thing ..." Decaf: "I heard that he threatened to forcibly deport Whoo ..." tcn in AK: "A good start, but still in the "rookie numbers" te ..." Altaria Pilgram - My President has convictions: "A noted economist and overall intellectual, also k ..." Recent Entries
Baby Animals Cafe
Socialist President of Colombia Gets Roar of Approval from Anti-American, Pro-Crime Media For Refusing to Take Back His Criminals And Then He Folds Braindead Husk Joe Biden -- Or Really, the Staffers Illegally Running the Government -- Pardoned a Drug Kingpin Who Murdered a Mother and Her 8-Year-Old Child to Keep Her From Testifying Against Him as a "Nonviolent" Drug Violator Trump Fires "More Than a Dozen" DOJ Officials Involved In Investigating Him; New DC US Attorney Opens Investigation Into DOJ's Overcharging of J6ers Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth (Eat It, Bitch McConnell) Reverses Insubordinate Malicious Compliance from Woke Air Force Official Oh, No! Trump Prepping Exec Order to Ban Transgenders from Military CIA Director Ratcliffe Releases Suppressed CIA Report: Yes, Covid Was Created in the Wuhan Lab "I Don't Really Care, Margaret" THE MORNING RANT: Additional Executive Orders to Put Before President Trump Mid-Morning Art Thread Search
Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Primary Document: The Audio
Paul Anka Haiku Contest Announcement Integrity SAT's: Entrance Exam for Paul Anka's Band AllahPundit's Paul Anka 45's Collection AnkaPundit: Paul Anka Takes Over the Site for a Weekend (Continues through to Monday's postings) George Bush Slices Don Rumsfeld Like an F*ckin' Hammer Top Top Tens
Democratic Forays into Erotica New Shows On Gore's DNC/MTV Network Nicknames for Potatoes, By People Who Really Hate Potatoes Star Wars Euphemisms for Self-Abuse Signs You're at an Iraqi "Wedding Party" Signs Your Clown Has Gone Bad Signs That You, Geroge Michael, Should Probably Just Give It Up Signs of Hip-Hop Influence on John Kerry NYT Headlines Spinning Bush's Jobs Boom Things People Are More Likely to Say Than "Did You Hear What Al Franken Said Yesterday?" Signs that Paul Krugman Has Lost His Frickin' Mind All-Time Best NBA Players, According to Senator Robert Byrd Other Bad Things About the Jews, According to the Koran Signs That David Letterman Just Doesn't Care Anymore Examples of Bob Kerrey's Insufferable Racial Jackassery Signs Andy Rooney Is Going Senile Other Judgments Dick Clarke Made About Condi Rice Based on Her Appearance Collective Names for Groups of People John Kerry's Other Vietnam Super-Pets Cool Things About the XM8 Assault Rifle Media-Approved Facts About the Democrat Spy Changes to Make Christianity More "Inclusive" Secret John Kerry Senatorial Accomplishments John Edwards Campaign Excuses John Kerry Pick-Up Lines Changes Liberal Senator George Michell Will Make at Disney Torments in Dog-Hell Greatest Hitjobs
The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny More Margaret Cho Abuse Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed" Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means Wonkette's Stand-Up Act Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report! Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet The House of Love: Paul Krugman A Michael Moore Mystery (TM) The Dowd-O-Matic! Liberal Consistency and Other Myths Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate "Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long) The Donkey ("The Raven" parody) |