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March 01, 2010
Andy McCarthy's Dire Prediction on Reconciliation and ObamaCareI think we've all been thinking this. I've even been writing it. But Andy McCarthy does it much better. On Sean's panel last night, when the conversation turned to how nervous Democrats supposedly are over what for now is teeing up like a very bad November, I felt like I was channeling Mark Steyn, Mark Levin, and Rush. That is, I think our side is analyzing this all wrong: Today's Democrats are controlled by the radical Left, and it is more important to them to execute the permanent transformation of American society than it is to win the upcoming election cycles. They have already factored in losing in November even losing big. For them, winning big now outweighs that. I think they're right. Charles Krauthammer, meanwhile, thinks the entire point of Obama's sham summit was to give him cover to claim he's addressed the charges of a corrupt process, and go ahead with reconciliation: The reason he is doing all of this is because independents who went against him in Virginia and in New Jersey two to one, in Massachusetts three to one are the ones who are most upset about the process, about the idea of it being corrupt. For a bit of good news, Keith Hennessey outlines the big political and procedural hurdles ObamaCare has yet to clear. He notes a possible tool the Republicans can use to stop reconciliation -- but it's never been tried, and he doesn't know if Harry Reid has some special procedural rule to stop it. Infinite amendments: Senate floor debate on a reconciliation bill is limited to 20 hours. There is no limit on amendments that can be offered. This means that, after two full days of debate and amendments, twenty hours will have expired. Any amendments which are queued up (or are then offered) are then voted on, in sequence, with no debate (in theory). In practice the Senators will often agree to precede each vote with 30 seconds of debate from the proponent and 30 seconds from an opponent. The most difficult hurdle, however, will be getting the Blue Dogs to vote for the Senate bill without Stupak's abortion language. His previous post on the rules and purpose of reconciliation is worth a read. Basically reconciliation makes the Senate -- where each Senator has strong individual rights, and the minority is well-protected -- like the House -- where majority rules on all things -- but for one purpose only, to bring down the deficit. Finally, at Heritage, a four-minute recap of the seven and a half hour summit. | Recent Comments
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